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Kaye: Panthers not likely to be "sellers" at trade deadline


Mr. Scot
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We don't have a lot of assets that most will want. The bulk that we so are basically no fly zones. 

I get the want to make upgrades but there are not likely to be cheap and available upgrades at a reasonable cost. It's possible but not probable.

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4 hours ago, Mr. Scot said:

I can't sign on to trading Hubbard while I believe he still isn't fully healthy (so can't be properly evaluated) and Dowdle is only on a one-year deal. 

Also don't trust in Brooks at all.

I see that,but my focus is broader, which changes the logic (unless I am missing something here).  If you like Rico and trade Hubbard, you don't have to let Rico go--you could sign him, have Etienne and Brooks and maybe even a late round draft pick--but you get an ILB, which is our biggest weakness--which is my point.  If you isolate your focus on RB only and you focus on next year, it makes little sense to trade Hubbard--to me, you upgrade LB right now and you have RBs.  I think we are constantly in rebuild or build mode, we don't think like those seeking rings.   What helps us more--(and I am not sure about Hubbard's trade value, which was part of your point)--a backup RB (solid but still a backup right now) or a starting ILB?  Which player fills our needs?  So I could argue your point, but there are other perspectives that should be considered if you broaden the scope.  It is not a no-brainer--lotta variables.

Edited by MHS831
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I think a pass rusher would be hard to get--so I have not mentioned it.  i also think that our two young OLBs are showing some signs.  It is tough to figure out.  Is it scheme?  Are we predictable?  However, I don't see us upgrading by adding a Reddick (sheer luck) by next week.  

 

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23 minutes ago, Aussie Tank said:

I'd like to be a buyer of a Jets or Dolphins pass rusher even if we're not sellers 

Depends on price, IMO. Good fits but it would need to be for a relative bargain and/or with a plan to retain(mainly with Phillips).

Chubb is injury prone, 29 and has 2 years left at roughly $20 mil(real cost to us, not including prorated money). None of this money is guaranteed, however. 

Philips is 26 and on an expiring $13.5 mil deal.

Chubb would probably be easier to obtain, although potentially a cap suck if he gets injured again.

Philips would potentially be more expensive to acquire and a risk if you aren't able to immediately sign him to an extension. 

Chubb could be the bigger, cheaper gamble with an easy exit strategy.

Phillips could be a long term solution but also potentially leave you holding the bag if he REALLY doesn't want to return and skips out this offseason(minus the tag). He is also in his prime as a player.

 

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8 minutes ago, MHS831 said:

I think a pass rusher would be hard to get--so I have not mentioned it.  i also think that our two young OLBs are showing some signs.  It is tough to figure out.  Is it scheme?  Are we predictable?  However, I don't see us upgrading by adding a Reddick (sheer luck) by next week.  

 

I would also hate to see us dump any picks in the top 3 rounds. Those are just too valuable to trade for a team so incredibly far away from being a contender.

Even if Scourton and Umanmielen are just basically better version of Jones/Wonnum, I still want them to keep getting the bulk of the reps. Jones/Wonnum are just middle of the road rotational players. Perhaps Scourton/Umanmielen end up being better.

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24 minutes ago, strato said:

Well those guys have a shot to be much better players 12 months from now. We should just ride with what we have. 

I am not convinced there will be dramatic difference makers available, especially with such large coaching issues on both sides of the ball.

Still, hopefully Dan is doing due diligence.

Edited by kungfoodude
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2 hours ago, kungfoodude said:

I am not convinced there will be dramatic difference makers available, especially with such large coaching issues on both sides of the ball.

Still, hopefully Dan is doing due diligence.

Bottom of the roster churn would be okay with me. If some trades are made some people will be waived/released. 
 

I was citing something in my SEC does not equal NFL arguments a couple of years back and it is the difference one year of NFL and the following offseason do for players. 
These guys are not going to be college players if they do it right, year two. 

Edited by strato
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21 hours ago, Mr. Scot said:

I can't sign on to trading Hubbard while I believe he still isn't fully healthy (so can't be properly evaluated) and Dowdle is only on a one-year deal. 

Also don't trust in Brooks at all.

This 

Excited Lets Go GIF

Also, on this team right now, I think you need some kind of consistency builder. Giving Chuba a second contract and then trading him away so early in it doesn't look great in a locker room for a team trying to build an identity. 

 

Edited by Khyber53
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21 hours ago, Mr. Scot said:

I can't sign on to trading Hubbard while I believe he still isn't fully healthy (so can't be properly evaluated) and Dowdle is only on a one-year deal. 

Also don't trust in Brooks at all.

I get what you're saying to an extent, but bringing in Rico on a cheap deal and his performance so far kind of shows why you might trade Chubba, or at least why you dont give rb big deals.  Its not that all uncommon to find solid rbs on the scrap heap.   The only time having a great rb longterm really helps is when you are a great team already. 

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If you believe the referee influences the game, Smith's presence suggests the Panthers will struggle to get "home cooking" calls and may face untimely procedural flags that stall drives. The Panthers have only had Shawn Smith officiate four home games since he became a head referee in 2018, and they are all losses. Date Opponent Result Score Nov 24, 2024 vs. Kansas City Chiefs Loss 27–30 Oct 9, 2022 vs. San Francisco 49ers Loss 15–37 Dec 12, 2021 vs. Atlanta Falcons Loss 21–29 Nov 25, 2018 vs. Seattle Seahawks Loss 27–30   Considering the how rare it is for Shawn Smith to officiate a Panthers game at all, this seems like an odd time to assign him to a Panthers game, unless the NFL wants to kill the Panthers season once and for all.  The Panthers' offensive line situation creates a "perfect storm" for referee Shawn Smith's specific tendency to call False Starts on the home team. The "Carousel" Factor (Communication Vulnerability) The most damning stat for the Panthers' offensive line in 2025 is their lack of continuity. The Stat: By Week 13, the Panthers had already fielded their 10th different offensive line combination. The Impact: False starts are often "communication penalties"—they happen when a guard doesn't hear the center's snap count or a tackle anticipates the wrong cadence. A unit that hasn't played together struggles with non-verbal communication. The Shawn Smith Multiplier: Shawn Smith’s crew calls False Starts at a high rate on home teams. He will likely look for flinches on the exterior of the line. A disjointed line that is constantly rotating players (due to the injuries of starters like Cade Mays and the illness issues with Robert Hunt earlier this season) is "fresh meat" for this specific referee bias. The Specific Culprits (2025 Penalties) Ikem Ekwonu (LT): Leads the team with 4 False Start penalties this season. He is the most frequent violator on the line. Taylor Moton (RT): Has been flagged for 3 False Starts. The Trap: Smith’s crew often focuses on the tackles (the players furthest from the ball) jumping early to get an edge on speed rushers. Since Ekwonu struggles with this discipline naturally, having a referee who hunts for it is a massive disadvantage. The "Managed Outcome" Synthesis The "Bucs Cover" Script: If the desired outcome is a Buccaneers win to solidify their playoff standing, the officials simply have to apply the letter of the law. Calling strict False Starts on a confused, banged-up Panthers O-line will consistently put them in "3rd and Long" situations, killing their drives and allowing the Bucs (-3.5) to cover easily. The "Close Game" Script: If the desired outcome is "Week 18 Drama" (keeping the division tied), look for the officials to ignore the Panthers' twitchy tackles. If Ekwonu jumps a split-second early and no flag is thrown, it effectively neutralizes the Bucs' pass rush, allowing the Panthers to keep the score close. Summary of the Edge Vulnerability: Extreme. The Panthers are playing backup interior linemen (like Jake Curhan or practice squad call-ups) next to jumpy tackles. Betting Implication: This strongly reinforces the Bucs -3 or -3.5 play. The combination of a "Road Team Referee" and a "Home Team O-Line in chaos" suggests the Panthers will beat themselves with procedural penalties. Based on the collision of the hard data (Referee bias + Offensive Line injuries) and the soft narratives ("Managed Outcomes"), here is the definitive recommendation. If you have to place a single Moneyline bet to win this game straight up: The Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-165) While the "Entertainment Script" hints at a Panthers upset to keep the division messy, the structural disadvantage the Panthers face in this specific matchup is too massive to ignore. Here is why the Buccaneers are the stong moneyline play: 1. The "Shawn Smith" Road-Field Advantage This is the decisive factor. In the NFL, Home Field Advantage usually accounts for about 1.5 to 2 points of value. The Reality: Referee Shawn Smith negates that advantage entirely. His crew calls penalties in a way that historically suppresses home crowd momentum (False Starts, holding). The Result: You are essentially getting the Buccaneers on a neutral field (or even a "pseudo-home" field) against a team with a worse roster. 2. The "Drive-Killer" Synergy To win as an underdog, the Panthers need to play a clean, mistake-free game to keep drives alive. The combination of Panthers' 10th O-Line combo + Jump-prone Tackles (Ekwonu) + A Referee who hunts False Starts is a recipe for disaster. The Scenario: Expect the Panthers to face multiple "1st and 15" or "3rd and 12" situations due to procedural flags. 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    • He isn't a good HC. I think he has proved that conclusively.
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