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Playoff Chances!


Happy Panther

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"Since 1978 when the NFL went to a 16-game schedule, and excluding the abbreviated season of 1982, teams that are victorious [in their first game] are more than twice as likely to reach the playoffs than losers of their first game."

The data: Of the 442 first-game winners, 233 went to the playoffs. Of the 442 first-game losers, 103 went to the playoffs.

http://www.cleveland.com/browns/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/sports/1252830655270810.xml&coll=2

:)

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I also said 8-8 many times and tried to explain to all of our "fellow huddlers" that our team wasnt great this year. but everyone was so sure our panthers were going 16-0. "NOPE we don't need OLine depth, nope its only preseason it doesnt count, we can just flip the switch in regular season..."

Whether our D is better then expected or not, theres no way we can compete with the top tier teams week in and week out. We will have great games, but far to many forgetable ones like yesterday

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    • I wouldn't say I was "relying on current AI" for information. I input a question to see how it would respond out of curiosity. I wouldn't even say that I'm an analytics guy, especially in the terms of the draft. I believe the game film ultimately tells the story. But, even back in the 1960s the Cowboys revolutionized the NFL draft process by using a computer to help them pick (or not pick) players No one would deny that 2 of our weakest spots on defense are S and LB. I was curious to see what an AI program would pick as the optimal time to pick these spots. They seem to have narrowed in on Day 1 and Day 2, which is the exact opposite of what the Panthers have done in recent years. We haven't made an effort to use our higher choices on these spots this decade and both positions are weaknesses for our defense. The position of Center has always fascinated me. Take a  look at most of the dynasties in NFL history, or even a one and done super bowl winner. I guarantee you over 80% have a stud manning the center position. This guy is usually going to be among the top 5 players at his position at any given time and often a multiple Pro Bowler.
    • Tom Brady was on the injury report basically every game of his career.   I also think there is some wiggle room.   I think the Panthers have a very broad "high ankle sprain" definition.  With both of Bryce's high ankle sprains he has been up on his foot 24/7 from the moment it was announced.   High ankle sprains used to take players off their feet and you would be out weeks.  With Bryce, it's hard to tell there is anything there.   
    • We pretty much spent a fortune on the OL to buy time in the pocket, which okay right now they are out. But normally we should not be incapable of protecting long enough for a guy to take a drop and step up and send the ball down the field. We aren’t talking about Hail Mary stuff here. Just deeper than red zone depth.  Right now we don’t have the guy for that. Ours is slow to get back and when he does he needs time to turn his hips and get his feet set before he steps into the throw. or he has to bail out and concede one side of the field so he can get a run up to launch the ball down the half he left himself to work with. Seems like that  is where most of the issue is with having that in the playbook.  And trends. One thing thing about football trends is going too far with that leaves you open to be exploited somewhere else. As we always see eventually. Someone bucks the trend and it works. Now you have a new trend.     
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