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Good Read Analyzing Hurney's Draft History (On Offense)


SetfreexX

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In this down time from the early hype of free agency to the lull, of pro-day snippets, and rumors it's nice to come across a read with a little substance to it to help hold us over, came across this a bit ago and am still reading but figured I'd share in the mean time. 

https://pantherswire.usatoday.com/2018/04/05/analyzing-marty-hurneys-past-offensive-draft-picks/

Marty Hurney drafted 36 non-quarterback offensive players in his first stint with the Carolina Panthers as general manager. If you look closely, there are definite patterns that are to be found.

For this piece, I took a look at all 36 players and tried to find these patterns, be it certain tendencies at certain positions, or certain rounds for others, and link them to the closest fitting players available in the 2018 NFL draft.

Here are the findings.

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Using his drafts from so long ago is a bad bad metric. For one the NFL is different and more of a passing league than ever. Two he's already proven what things he's valueing this off-season. We tried to sign big name WRs, Safety's, DT, TE, and CBs. He didn't try to sign big name guards, RB, LB, DE, and QB. So to me that tells us he wants to fill those positions he didn't go after in the draft, or positions he went after but couldn't sign. So I expect the high round picks to be TE, S, RB, DE. Low round picks on WR, LB, CB, and QB. 

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Will certainly be an interesting draft, could be a make or break one given the looming retirements of -- Kalil / Davis / Peppers

This has the ''feel'' of a Panthers level all in kind of off-season, we don't have the cap the Rams had to be as aggressive as they were, but this IMO was one of the more assertive off-seasons I've seen us have in a long time, if ever really. 

So to me the story is how do we replace three all-time Panthers this draft / next year -- this is a turning point to some degree, I feel like we have TD's replacement, Kalil, and Pepper's heirs, and even Olsen's are still in flux.

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58 minutes ago, CarolinaSamurai said:

Using his drafts from so long ago is a bad bad metric. For one the NFL is different and more of a passing league than ever. Two he's already proven what things he's valueing this off-season. We tried to sign big name WRs, Safety's, DT, TE, and CBs. He didn't try to sign big name guards, RB, LB, DE, and QB. So to me that tells us he wants to fill those positions he didn't go after in the draft, or positions he went after but couldn't sign. So I expect the high round picks to be TE, S, RB, DE. Low round picks on WR, LB, CB, and QB. 

good analysis  

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I feel new Hurney will try to draft less projects (Armanti/Amini). He will still try to draft a day one starter in round 1. He’s going to pick the best WR or Safety. I think it’s DJ Moore or Ridley. He will try to make a move if he has a blue chip player falling (Wynn (shoulder injury), Chubb(recovered from a bad knee), or a wildcard in Arden Key(off field). Look for other picks to be a TE from a proven program mid round and maybe an interior lineman as a target.

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33 minutes ago, Chimera said:

On Nick Chubb:

Yeah, I'd say 128 feet is well above the average broad jump. Who writes this stuff?

You mean who edits. The rise of crap writing has a lot to do with things progressing past editors(assuming there is any) with little to no legitimate editorial process.

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2 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

As he should. Chubb or Penny in the 3rd would make an awesome pairing with CMC.

I agree I was just laughing to myself at the imagery of Hurney running in a full suit out of the Panthers facilities and down mint street

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