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Film Study: GREAT FIT: Why Sam Darnold will be a great Quarterback for the Carolina Panthers.
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The way this FO attacked this offseason it’s tough to envision them continuing to trot out someone as unreliable and dumb as Legette. There’s expectations now, potentially jobs at stake and Legette’s had his chances -
I think Bryce is about to become a top 10-15 QB for the next decade. I also think we’ll sign him to a reasonable deal compared to some of these monster contracts QBs have been crippling franchises with lately. I’ve developed that much confidence in Tillis & Co. -
A lot of people in the community seem to think Carolina will go pure BPA at 19, but I don’t really see it that way. I do think this front office has put itself in a good position after free agency. They’ve been aggressive, they’ve improved the roster, and they’ve taken away the pressure of having to force one specific position. That part is true. But that still doesn’t mean this will be a true best player available approach. There are still spots on this roster that clearly need more help than others, and I think those positions will naturally narrow the board. The good news is that because the team improved multiple areas, they now have enough flexibility that their pick can still look like BPA. It just won’t be BPA in the purest sense. It’ll be more like BPA within a cluster of positions still in play. With pick 19, the odds are pretty high that a player at one of those positions will match both value and need. Here’s how I see the roster right now. Offense QB — Bryce Young X RB — Chuba Hubbard X Chuba is productive, Jonathon Brooks should return from injury, and Trevor Etienne gives them another option. Running back is not a draft priority. WR — Tetairoa McMillan X WR — Jalen Coker X WR — Xavier Legette In play He’s still young and worth developing, so I wouldn’t call this a major need. But if a high-end receiver unexpectedly falls, we could absolutely pull the trigger. TE — Ja’Tavion Sanders Very much in play We don’t really have a true TE1. We haven’t had one since Greg Olsen. Kenyon Sadiq would make a lot of sense if the board falls that way. LT — Rasheed Walker X Between Ekwonu and Rasheed Walker, tackle doesn’t feel like something they’d attack early. LG — Damien Lewis X C — Luke Fortner X Not a priority compared to other needs. RG — Robert Hunt X RT — Taylor Moton X Defense LDE — Derrick Brown X NT — Bobby Brown III In play He’s a nose tackle who doesn’t particularly stop the run that well. An upgrade could definitely be in play within the first 2–3 rounds. RDE — Tershawn Wharton In play He struggled last season. On a Super Bowl contender, he would ideally be more of a rotational piece. Defensive interior overall still feels like a unit that could be improved. Our #2 DI last season was A’Shawn Robinson by a mile, and we lost him. WLB — Nic Scourton X LILB — Devin Lloyd X RILB — Trevin Wallace In play Wallace has flaws in his game. Slightly below-average LB right now, but he could still develop into a solid depth piece. I wouldn’t rule out linebacker within the first two rounds. In the first round though, the only realistic option without reaching would be Sonny Styles if he somehow falls to the 10–13 range and we trade up. CJ Allen and Anthony Hill Jr. should not be considered at 19. SLB — Jaelan Phillips X LCB — Mike Jackson X Mike Jack should now be viewed as a pillar of this defense. SS — Tre’von Moehrig X FS — Lathan Ransom Very much in play Free safety is one of the most realistic upgrade spots on the roster. Lathan Ransom profiles more like a strong safety than a true free safety. RCB — Jaycee Horn X NB — Chau Smith-Wade In play Nickel could definitely be addressed early. Adding a true difference-maker in the slot (or another CB and moving Jaycee inside more often) would make this secondary much stronger. Final Take — TLDR This is why I don’t think Carolina will follow a true BPA approach. They’ve improved enough in free agency that they aren’t forced into one desperate need anymore, which is exactly where you want to be going into the draft. But the roster still has a few spots that clearly stand out more than others. Because of that, I think the Panthers will draft using a multi-position BPA approach, not a full-roster BPA board. Most realistic early targets in my opinion Tight end Defensive interior Free safety Linebacker Nickel corner with wide receiver as the possible wildcard if someone unexpectedly falls. At pick 19, that’s exactly the type of situation where value and need are most likely to meet. Realistic Picks at 19 Kenyon Sadiq Caleb Banks / Peter Woods Dillon Thieneman Sonny Styles (via trade up if he falls) Jermod McCoy / Avieon Terrel Jordyn Tyson
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