Jump to content

  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Over/Under Win Total(s) for Carolina

CarolinaLivin

By CarolinaLivin,
in Carolina Panthers

 Share

Recommended Posts

CarolinaLivin Grand Master

CarolinaLivin

Posted
Posted (edited)

Both BetMGM and VegasInsider have set the Panthers' win total at 7.5 for the season which is about where it should be. In my way-too-early game-by-game predictions, I have Carolina getting off to a sizzling 5-2 start before fading out in the second half of the season and finishing 7-10.

How can the Panthers go OVER 7.5 wins?

Analytically, the Panthers have the 6th easiest schedule in the NFL. They have several games in the first half of the season that are very winnable and if they get off to a hot start and rack up 5-6 wins in their first 8-9 games, they will have no trouble getting to at least eight wins.

How can the Panthers go UNDER 7.5 wins?

The final four games of Carolina's schedule are absolutely brutal.  They go to Buffalo, host Tampa, and then end the year with back-to-back road games at New Orleans, and Tampa. If they get to this four-game stretch with just four or five wins, it will be extremely difficult for them to go over the total. Heck, even six wins may not be enough going into that stretch. 

 

My opinion:  I think we will have a strong start to the season starting with week 1 vs. the Jets. 9-8 is very realistic and could very well be our record and could be enough to get us a wild-card game come playoff time. A lot of people have written off the Panthers for the last few games of the season. Not sure how much truth there is to this, but I believe Darnold has historically played his best football in the second half of seasons. Hopefully he can get comfortable in our offense early in the season with some lighter defensive matchups and build his confidence.  

Edited by CarolinaLivin
  • Pie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
CarolinaLivin Grand Master

CarolinaLivin

Posted
  • Author
Posted
1 minute ago, Smithers said:

I just don’t see the Saints as being a “brutal” matchup. Same with Tampa really - we will play them tough and Brady could still hit that wall at any time

I've said this in a previous thread... we can sweep the saints and/or atlanta, all just depends on our QB play this year. 

  • Pie 1
  • Beer 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
CarolinaLivin Grand Master

CarolinaLivin

Posted
  • Author
Posted
Just now, BlitzMonster said:

Jameis Winston may keep that Saints offense rolling along so they probably won't be easy to sweep.  

 

I'd say 8 or 9 wins for the Panthers in 2021.  Which would be fine.   A big improvement over last year.  And something to build on for 2022.  

Idk.. when they drafted Ian Book, it maybe made me believe they aren't as confident as I thought in Winston being able to fill those big shoes. I could be wrong though

Link to comment
Share on other sites
NanuqoftheNorth Grand Master

NanuqoftheNorth

Posted
Posted

Pragmatic Take:  Based on what we know at the moment, which isn't a lot, I'd go with an 8-9 or 9-8 outcome. 

Optimistic Take:  11-6  Young players over achieve and team surprises w/two or three wins late in the season.  Playoffs?

Pessimistic Take:  5-12  Black Cat Curse Strikes Again.  Rhule is a fool, Darnold is a dud and the Panthers end the season with more questions than answers.  

  • Beer 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
kungfoodude Grand Master

kungfoodude

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, CarolinaLivin said:

Both BetMGM and VegasInsider have set the Panthers' win total at 7.5 for the season which is about where it should be. In my way-too-early game-by-game predictions, I have Carolina getting off to a sizzling 5-2 start before fading out in the second half of the season and finishing 7-10.

How can the Panthers go OVER 7.5 wins?

Analytically, the Panthers have the 6th easiest schedule in the NFL. They have several games in the first half of the season that are very winnable and if they get off to a hot start and rack up 5-6 wins in their first 8-9 games, they will have no trouble getting to at least eight wins.

How can the Panthers go UNDER 7.5 wins?

The final four games of Carolina's schedule are absolutely brutal.  They go to Buffalo, host Tampa, and then end the year with back-to-back road games at New Orleans, and Tampa. If they get to this four-game stretch with just four or five wins, it will be extremely difficult for them to go over the total. Heck, even six wins may not be enough going into that stretch. 

 

My opinion:  I think we will have a strong start to the season starting with week 1 vs. the Jets. 9-8 is very realistic and could very well be our record and could be enough to get us a wild-card game come playoff time. A lot of people have written off the Panthers for the last few games of the season. Not sure how much truth there is to this, but I believe Darnold has historically played his best football in the second half of seasons. Hopefully he can get comfortable in our offense early in the season with some lighter defensive matchups and build his confidence.  

I am going to withhold predictions until after Training Camp. I think given the turnover rate on the OL and at QB and on the defense, I want to see how those look early.

  • Pie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
KSpan Grand Master

KSpan

Posted
Posted (edited)

I see 7.5 as the reality-based O/U line on paper at this point. As bad as Teddy was in one-score game-tying/winning situations, 3 of the wins were also one-score (and a 4th was only by 10) so I see the regression-to-the-mean as cancelling each other out a bit. Call me pessimistic but I'm not expecting magic from Darnold - improvement in crucial situations vs Teddy and thank God the team moved on, but not wholesale magic this year - and I think the improved defense nets an extra win or two. Pie-in-the-sky ceiling IMO is 11-6 and a wild card.

Edited by KSpan
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • kungfoodude
      J Person article on Canales and game plan and Rico

      By kungfoodude · Posted

      He would be a fool to return here, TBH.
    • fanpanther
      This Bryce Guy (General BY Discussion)

      By fanpanther · Posted

      This is a good take it really is to the point dc needs to let the world see the real byoung b/c right now everyone in the media and tepper has had blinders on when it comes to young.  Its hard to even know where the panthers are at skill player wise with such horrible qb play.  I doubt it but legette may be a probowl wr he just cant throw the ball and catch it.  I am just so sick of every excuse in the book for byoung.  LIstened to a podcast and the guy was going over how many different options byoung had on the int and all of them were ok except for the one where he threw an int.  He said the play could be run by a hs qb and they would typically make a good decision. 
    • LinvilleGorge
      We have a Dave Canales Problem

      By LinvilleGorge · Posted

      I certainly have my complaints about Canales but I'm not ready to fire him yet for a couple of reasons. First and foremost, Tepper has made this one of the least appealing jobs in the league. Morgan and Canales are here to begin with in large part because guys higher on the wish list take other jobs. If you fire Canales you're gonna end up replacing him with another third tier candidate who wasn't being seriously considered by other teams with openings. That's just the reality of the situation right now as far as I can tell. Secondly, despite plenty of room for critique, we are 6-6 despite the worst QB play in the league. That's really damn hard to pull off in the modern NFL. Especially when your D isn't dominant. Our D is greatly improved but is still a slightly below average overall defense ranking 18th in yards per game allowed and 20th in points allowed. Going 6-6 with atrocious QB play and slightly below average defensive play is pretty damn impressive. Even more impressive when you also factor in that we're in the red on turnovers differential at -3. When you combine league worst QB play with slightly below average D and negative turnover differential honestly you'd expect to be in play for the #1 overall pick, not 6-6 and having just played a game that a win would have you leading the division. So yeah, even though I'm far from sold I advocate for patience with Canales for the time being. If you ask me if I'm bringing him back next year, I'm a yes barring a catastrophic meltdown down the stretch which admittedly is very much a possibility.
×
×
  • Create New...