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Too much to ask picking in the middle of the third round. Unless you are historically lucky. Hell you need luck in the 1st to get that. The devaluation of the position is hard for me to understand when I look at the difference great MLBs have made to defenses over the years. Defense needs a good QB too. MLB is the QB of the defense. -
Across the league. 5 straight years of decline. Deep pass attempts have fallen to just 7.7 per game in 2024, down from that 2019 peak. Air yards per attempt are at 7.7 yards this year—the lowest in over a decade. Overall passing yards per game have tanked too, from 496 in 2020’s early weeks to a 403 in 2024. This trend is a result of defenses playing with two-high safety schemes designed to prevent deep passes, forcing offenses to seek yards after the catch on shorter throws. Two-high safety calls are everywhere now—up from 44% of dropbacks in 2019 to 63% in 2024—forcing QBs to take shorter throws instead of risking picks on bombs. Add in more presnap disguises, faster pass rushes (QB pressure up to 30.1% of dropbacks), and lighter, quicker D-linemen, and it’s a nightmare for deep shots. Offenses have adapted with emphasizing power run games to counter deep coverage and fast but leaner pass rushers. Rushing attempts per game are up to 27.9 per game average with top teams significantly in the 30+ attempts. QBs are emphasizing more short and intermediate throws so that the few deep passes they attempt have a higher completion percentage overall than in years past. So to everyone who is frustrated with lack of deep passing, it’s all cyclical and right now emphasis on the run and taking more calculated shots is the way to go.
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