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Mel Kiper was only 22 percent accurate with his picks

nctarheel0619

By nctarheel0619,
in Carolina Panthers

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nctarheel0619 Newbie

nctarheel0619

Posted
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How did ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper's final mock draft stack up against what really happened? How accurate was the expert?


At a quick glance at 2015, it appears not very. Kiper correctly predicted seven first-round picks, just 22 percent. He was able to predict the landing spots for Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota, Amari Cooper, Ereck Flowers, Trae Waynes, Danny Shelton and Melvin Gordon, but missed on the rest. 


Kiper also took a crack at the first three rounds, undoubtedly a much more difficult task. He predicted that the Buccaneers would take Winston at No. 1, and they did. In the second round, he had the team taking offensive tackle D.J. Humphries – right position, wrong player. And he missed both the position and player in predicting Florida State defensive end to become a Buccaneer in the third round. 

Here’s a look at Mel Kiper’s final mock draft. The player actually selected at that position in in parenthesis. 

1. Jameis Winston, Buccaneers (Jameis Winston) 
2. Marcus Mariota, Titans (Marcus Mariota) 
3. Leonard Williams, Jaguars (Dante Fowler Jr.) 
4. Amari Cooper, Raiders (Amari Cooper) 
5. Dante Fowler Jr., Redskins (Brandon Scherff)
6. Kevin White, Jets (Leonard Williams)
7. Brandon Scherff, Bears (Kevin White)
8. Bud Dupree, Falcons (Vic Beasley) 
9. Ereck Flowers, Giants (Ereck Flowers) 
10. Devante Parker, Rams (Todd Gurley)
11. Trae Waynes, Vikings (Trae Waynes) 
12. Danny Shelton, Browns (Danny Shelton) 
13. Vic Beasley, Saints (Andrus Peat)
14. Kevin Johnson, Dolphins (DeVante Parker) 
15 (17). Melvin Gordon, Chargers (Melvin Gordon) 
16. Landon Collins, Texans (Kevin Johnson) 
17 (15). Todd Gurley, 49ers (Arik Armstead)
18. Breshad Perriman, Chiefs (Marcus Peters)
19. Nelson Agholor, Browns (Cameron Erving)
20. Byron Jones, Eagles (Nelson Agholor)
21. Andrus Peat, Bengals (Cedric Ogbuehi) 
22. Damarious Randall, Steelers (Bud Dupree)
23 (28). Cameron Erving, Broncos (Shane Ray)
24. Arik Armstead, Cardinals (D.J. Humphries)
25. D.J. Humphries, Panthers (Shaq Thompson)
26. Marcus Peters, Ravens (Breshad Perriman)
27. Preston Smith, Cowboys (Byron Jones)
28 (23) Malcom Brown, Lions (Laken Tomlinson)
29. Jake Fisher, Colts (Phillip Dorsett)
30. Eric Kendricks, Packers (Damarious Randall)
31. Phillip Dorsett, Saints (Stephone Anthony)

32. Cedric Ogbuehi, Patriots (Malcom Brown)

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Pejorative Miscreant Grand Master

Pejorative Miscreant

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I hate Kiper and the holier than thou image he projects but in fairness I think these "Draft Gurus" are really just guessing and cant see how anyone would presume their entire mock projections to be accurate.

 

If I cared what Mel Kiper thought I would listen to him for analysis talking points but definitely not peg him on draft projections.

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TheWiz Proficient

TheWiz

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Results like these are the very reason why listening to draft grades now is useless.

 

These so-called experts are no more experts than 75% of the people posting on the huddle.

 

I see your 75....

 

And I raise you 90.

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