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How accurate is pre season game 3 in determing the season?! Very

PanthersUnited

By PanthersUnited,
in Carolina Panthers

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PanthersUnited Newbie

PanthersUnited

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So I went back and looked at highlight vids of our 3rd pre season game in each of the last two seasons and it's almost scary how the way we looked in those games is almost exactly how our regular season went those years..

Here is a highlight vid of our 2013 pre season game against the Ravens.. http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-game-highlights/0ap2000000232960/Pre-Week-3-Panthers-vs-Ravens-highlights  

How can anyone forget this game. This was the Luke Kuechly show, if you remember correctly, this is the game with the force fumble play by Kuechly on Flacco and Thomas Davis recovering the fumble for a TD..

In this game, the offense didn't do much at all but you had a Ginn punt return for a TD, and an absolute dominating performance by our D. Fast forward to the regular season that year.. We go 12-4 on the backs of a dominating defense and solid performances by Ted Ginn in the return game.

Now let's look at pre season game 3 of last season against the Patriots. Complete disaster, our O line looked like poo, Brady carves our D up with his eyes closed and Cam gets the injured ribs, result is a blowout loss for us.

Fast forward to the regular season that year and the NFCs title not withstanding, it was a pretty terrible season. Some of the worst O line play ever, Cam banged up all year and countless blowout losses. 

I was actually quite amazed at how pre season game 3 mirrored and set the tone of how those respective seasons went.

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rodeo Veteran

rodeo

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It's true, honestly. You're not going to see the Panthers look like garbage in the preseason and then come out and have a great year. The preseason is a pretty good indicator. Not the W/L record of the preseason, but how the 1st team actually looks on the field.

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rodeo Veteran

rodeo

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Why must everyone always talk poo to this guy? If you don't like the thread, don't fuging read it. All these smart-ass replies are a lot more annoying than anything he's ever posted and, frankly, pretty low class.

We've reached the time of year when it's a race to see who can get the most cool points by being the first to poo on a thread. Look out for the classic "not this poo again" and "this needed its own thread?" Make sure to say hello when you see it because the poster is sure to be sitting there waiting for their high 5.

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Castavar Grand Master

Castavar

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Why must everyone always talk poo to this guy? If you don't like the thread, don't fuging read it. All these smart-ass replies are a lot more annoying than anything he's ever posted and, frankly, pretty low class.

People just trying to fit in with the "cool" crowd. He has actually been making some quality threads lately.

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Marguide Newbie

Marguide

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Two games is way too small of a sample size to make any conclusions. It would not be very difficult to calculate the correlation coefficient between a random selection of NFL pre-season games 3 and the win/loss regular season records of the 2 teams involved. To make it more precise, use the score after 3 quarters, as that's how long the starters typically play.

Try to get maybe 50 data points to have sufficient data.

My guess is there is not much of a correlation.

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KSpan Grand Master

KSpan

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I think it's a fair point in this context because there is a lot of continuity across the offensive and defensive units from last season. With so few new starters, one would think that the on-field results are pretty indicative of what we'll see in-season since there isn't much of a learning curve to travel. Last year Carolina had a brand new OL, a new set of WRs, DA at QB, a new secondary... very little of that this year.

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