Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Recommended Posts

36 minutes ago, 45catfan said:

The important thing is to see the hospitalization and deaths number over the next 7-10 days.  If there's not a sizable spike in either, that means the virus is weakening.

Yeah, that's definitely jumping the gun big time. It could also mean that it's largely a less vulnerable population being infected.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Ja Rhule said:

Masks and hand sanitizers.  Both corona and flu spread same way.  Lots of people wear masks now and use hand sanitizers after touching things unlike before.

It's possible, but you're assuming people area actually going to stick with it while I'm personally seeing more and more people who definitely aren't. We're definitely trending the wrong direction on it.

Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, Brooklyn 3.0 said:

Probably due to the recent holiday. As mentioned here, it'll be interesting to see nationwide spikes (if any) in a week or two from all the protest gatherings.

Fortunately, they've been outdoor gatherings. That's a lot better than indoor, but we're still going to see spikes with thousands gathering.

Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

It's possible, but you're assuming people area actually going to stick with it while I'm personally seeing more and more people who definitely aren't. We're definitely trending the wrong direction on it.

I’m wearing it going forward.  F it.  I also always use hand sanitizer every time I touch something other people touched.  I applaud Costco for making it a rule. 

  • Pie 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

“Spikes” make good headlines but often mean nothing. NC has been consistently increasing their testing volume.  They’ve also been going into vulnerable areas and testing people there proactively. Obviously, the number of cases will go up.

Hospitalization numbers and percentage of positive tests are the thing to look at.

  • Pie 2
  • Beer 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Tbe said:

“Spikes” make good headlines but often mean nothing. NC has been consistently increasing their testing volume.  They’ve also been going into vulnerable areas and testing people there proactively. Obviously, the number of cases will go up.

Hospitalization numbers and percentage of positive tests are the thing to look at.

Read the second link.

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Read the second link.

I did. I was talking about NC (replying to a post above yours). We’re still hovering at 7-8% positive rate. What’s happening here is all the rural areas that had low to zero cases for a long time are now seeing cases. It’s not huge numbers, but they add up. Those places were relaxed about this for a long time. 
 

I bet Texas and Arizona  are the same way. It’s finally moving away from the cities in significant numbers.

  • Pie 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I am near Myrtle Beach, on the beach itself it was packed, same at entertainment spots.

Surely I am worried about it locally but if any visitors were exposed the virus is going to travel back home with them. Past that, I am just a civilian so predictions from me mean little to nothing.

Link to post
Share on other sites

ICUs will likely be past their capacity all over the country again by the end of June. People will cry, " OMG!!! Who could've predicted this?!" Uh... every virologist and epidemiologist on the planet. Many of whom now support the widespread protests for fear of being labeled racist. Unfortunately, the virus doesn't care if you're wearing a MAGA hat at an Ozark pool party or holding a BLM sign at a protest. As long as large groups are gathering together, it's going to spread like wildfire.

Link to post
Share on other sites
33 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

ICUs will likely be past their capacity all over the country again by the end of June. People will cry, " OMG!!! Who could've predicted this?!" Uh... every virologist and epidemiologist on the planet. Many of whom now support the widespread protests for fear of being labeled racist. Unfortunately, the virus doesn't care if you're wearing a MAGA hat at an Ozark pool party or holding a BLM sign at a protest. As long as large groups are gathering together, it's going to spread like wildfire.

I can confirm having read notes dated the end last week for at least one hospital addressing moving patients from the ICU because of a bed shortage. This time of year ICU admission is typically way down, not up. This is just one hospital, but it's something I very rarely see and definitely not something seen in late spring.

Link to post
Share on other sites

If the daily deaths continue to trend downward, then not sure there is anything wrong with more and more people becoming exposed.

Protecting rest homes should be a paramount concern

Edited by stirs
Link to post
Share on other sites

I think people overstate the decline in deaths. We topped out around 2600 per day. We're still over 1000 per day. We topped out at about 38000 new cases per day (with much less testing than we currently have). We're still over 20000 per day. We're still 6-8 weeks out from having any inkling of how many are going to die from these coming spikes. My suspicion is that the overall mortality rate is probably about the same since we're likely catching a substantially larger percentage of the overall cases with more widespread testing - while still missing a lot if not even most of them.

What these spikes will likely guarantee though is that COVID has a very strong foothold going into cold/flu season. All the testing and contact tracing in the world won't matter if we still have too many cases to keep track of. We didn't learn poo from our failure to take this pandemic seriously before it reached our shores. We managed to take it seriously for 3-4 months at best even after it did. Strap in folks, it's gonna be a helluva ride this winter.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...