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Dane Brugler's 2023 Draft Guide a.k.a. "The Beast"


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5 hours ago, Jackie Lee said:

Anyone else think Bryce's parents are like overly clingy? They literally moved to Alabama just to be around him for college?

Uhhhhh, I think if my son was QB for Alabama and winning Heisman trophies I would want to attend all his games in person and be there for him as much as possible.  I played a sport in college, which was 2 hours from my home, and my dad drove up every weekend to see me play.  

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6 hours ago, MHS831 said:

I said it first at a dinner party.

1. 5 Edge players ranked in the top 21.  I think the Panthers might trade back from #39 if Ojulari is not there.  Reason?  If they want an Edge, You would have Felix, McDonald IV, White, Hall, and Foskey between #44 and #60. 

2. CBs Juluis Brentz (K state)  and Corey Trice (Purdue) are good fits and could be available with pick 93.  I worry that there could be 2 lingering at #39 that could tempt the Panthers--Ringo and Forbes.  My preference is to wait until day three and draft Terrell Smith.

3. If you really want a TE from this draft with the third rounder, take Luke Schoonmaker.  He will be a solid starter in this league.  He is a sleeper because he played behind one of the best TEs in the NCAA at Michigan, but he was still able to post decent stats. If not,  Brenton Strange (Penn State) would be the TE I would target --https://www.nfl.com/prospects/brenton-strange/32005354-5218-8631-c965-3e23bcc23565

4,  If you look at the WRs between #76 and #86, it is reasonable to expect one to drop to 93.  We have already had contact with Mingo.

So, based on this list, here is what I would do: 

Pick 39:  If Quentin Johnson (WR) and BJ Ojulari (Edge) drop, I think the Panthers take that player.  If not, I think they might consider CBs Forbes or Ringo.  Personally, I want an edge in the second round, so I trade back in round 2 and take an Edge like Hall or McDonald IV.  I would then (possibly) move up from #93 to make sure I grabbed a WR--Mims, Rice, or Mingo.

Sleeper I would grab in round 4 (you heard it here first):  CB Terell Smith (Minnesota). https://www.nfl.com/prospects/terell-smith/3200534d-4973-9042-a2e5-7a611c3c3214

So what would I do if the draft were today and I was given the job?

1.  Bryce Young.  51% sure.

39.  Assuming no player is there that would make me jump, I would try to trade back about 15 spots to about #54, adding a third round selection (somewhere around #85).  With the 54th pick, I would take Edge Derrick Hall or Will McDonald IV.

85.  From that spot, I am really eyeing WR because I like a few who should be on the board--Mimms, Mingo, and my favorite, Rice. I throw in my fifth rounder if necessary to move up to take Mims or Rice.

93.  Brenton Strange, TE Penn State. 

114.  Offensive line depth--I would hope that USC Guard (with Tackle ability) Andrew Vorhees would drop due to the injury he is rehabbing.   He would be ready to start in a year or two.

132.  Terell Smith, CB Minnesota

 

good stuff 

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22 hours ago, Jackie Lee said:

This was incredibly easy to download for free fyi

congratulations on discovering pirating. If you're an adult with a paying job though it would be nice to support Dane for his absolute fug ton of work he puts into this

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4 hours ago, SOJA said:

congratulations on discovering pirating. If you're an adult with a paying job though it would be nice to support Dane for his absolute fug ton of work he puts into this

I didn't pirate anything, they provided the password and link before the paywall 

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    • I moved to Atlanta for work, in June 1995. Almost the same for a Panthers fan.  This was pre internet at least for me, and there was no coverage unless we played the Falcons.  As a Panthers fan I hated that because I was super excited we had our own team finally and I was missing it.  I remember going to a bar and watching us beat SF maybe in our first year. But not much chance to watch games.  This prompts me to bitch that an expansion team’s first year was better than anything Tepper has been able to assemble. 
    • I get what you're trying to say, but I have seen Tetairoa open a plenty and  Hunter Renfrow open a plenty, but Bryce just misses what are supposed to be routine throws. Bryce's arm isn't Mahomes' arm, and he certainly doesn't have the plus mobility (basically the backyard-ball mentality and athleticism to run around until someone's open) and ability to make throws off platform that Mahomes' does.  We also have at least two TEs that get open on the regular, as well as two RBs that can catch and get open as well. Not to mention that Jalen Coker gets open on the regular when in. I just ain't buying that he doesn't have enough weapons. Legette gets open at times as well, not to mention Tremayne. If Bryce would just time his passes better and do it more consistently, it would open up the offense. His issues, at least in my mind, come down to one main thing: his height. He developed consistently bad mechanics over the years to overcome his inability to see the field, and while he got away with it pre-NFL, in the NFL where guys are a little bigger, a lot faster, and more experienced with decidedly more motivation to consistently do their jobs, Bryce is coming up short.
    • Texas / Oklahoma and the Texas State Fair today.  Over under on calories (liquid and solid) I consume today is 8750.5.
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