What a Possible Trading Out of 1st Round May* Look Like

[h0llywood]

So far, post FA additions, the Panthers for the first time in a long time are in a position where they can move around their first round pick. Here's what it could look like if Dan wants to use this year to grab additional picks.
 
Using the classic Jimmy Johnson Valuation Model, here are three possible options (assuming the players are still there):

 

Scenario 1: The "Small Slide" (Trading with a team in the mid-20s)
If a team like the Green Bay Packers (#23) or Minnesota Vikings (#24) wants to jump up for a specific player, the Panthers could net an extra 3rd-round pick.

Panthers give: #19 (875 pts)
Panthers receive: #24 (740 pts) + #87 (155 pts)

Total Return: 895 pts (The Panthers "win" by 20 points, a common "tax" for moving up).

Possible Picks: Pick #24: Makai Lemon (WR, USC) or Kenyon Sadiq (TE, Oregon)- Pick #87: Josiah Trotter (LB, Missouri)

 

Scenario 2: The "Big Move" (Trading to the end of Round 1)
If a team like the Detroit Lions (#28) or Washington Commanders (#29) wants to get back into the top 20, the Panthers could demand a high 2nd-round pick.

Panthers give: #19 (875 pts)
Panthers receive: #29 (640 pts) + #61 (292 pts)

Total Return: 932 pts (A significant profit for moving back 10 spots).

Possible Picks: Pick #29: Akheem Mesidor (Edge, Miami) or Zion Young (Edge, Missouri) - Pick #61: Spencer Fano (OT, Utah) or Logan Jones (C, Iowa)

 

Scenario 3: The "Draft Capital Haul" (Trading out of the 1st Round)
If the Panthers decide they want multiple "bites at the apple" in the second day of the draft, they could trade with a team at the top of Round 2, like the Cleveland Browns (#33).

Panthers give: #19 (875 pts)
Panthers receive: #33 (580 pts) + #67 (255 pts) + #104 (86 pts)

Total Return: 921 pts (This gives Carolina three picks in the top 105).

Possible Picks: Pick #33: Cashius Howell (Edge, Texas A&M) - Pick #67: Kevin "KC" Concepcion (WR, Texas A&M) - Pick #104: Jalen Stroman (S, Notre Dame) or Jake Slaughter (C, Florida)

[Aussie Tank]

Good write up

[LinvilleGorge]

If I moved out of the 1st I'd want a future 1st as part of the package.

[shaq]

Filling our holes gives us this flexibility, a trade back paired with BPA would set this franchise even further up.

[Pejorative Miscreant]

I like the idea of a trade down but not sure about trading out of the first altogether. Valid and logical points for both. I think it really depends on how the board falls but the idea shouldn’t be completely off the table. 

[party_animal]

Trading out of the first lost some of the appeal with the inclusion of fifth year options. Only thing that mitigates it is a future first.

[Udogg]

The fact that this is even a discussion is a testament of the level of front office badassery that's going on. 

[NAS]

No take the BPA we’re not that loaded

[Shotgun]

The only way I would trade is if a team massively overpays.