Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Hillis for Tolbert? An Idle thought on my part


top dawg

Recommended Posts

I was really contemplating whether this would be a Gettleman type of move, but there is only one concerning issue from a business perspective: health.

Mike Tolbert has been generally healthier over his career, and he has one less concussion than Peyton Hillis. Other than that, Hill is has been the better runner, averaging 4.1 as opposed to 3.8 ypc. Tolbert has produced more as a receiver with a 8.9 to 7.8 ypr. Overall, Hill has accounted for a little more yardage, but their stats and age are really similar.

The only reason that I even bring it up is that Tolbert's base salary is $2,400,000, where Hillis would have had a base of around $870,000. Is the fan favorite and his marginally to markedlyb better health, depending how you look at it, worth a million and a half more dollars with the cap as it is? Would it be worth getting ahead of the curve and jettisoning Tugboat for a more cap friendly Hillis? I don't know. I can't help but wonder if there is an even better option waiting in the wings of the draft, especially considering the lessening role of the FB in the NFL.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tolbert is a tough situation, however.  He is 29, was injured a lot.  He cannot carry the ball much, and he makes a lot.  I doubt we extend a 29-year old RB who has been running 250 lbs on a 5'8" frame. 

 

He has some juice left, and since he took a cut to come here, I say keep him another season.  However, I do not expect him to be on the roster in 2016.  Love him as a player, but reality is reality. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • So I looked into some of the data and here are some things I came up with using this specific article from the NFL: https://operations.nfl.com/gameday/analytics/stats-articles/what-we-learned-about-quarterback-push-sneaks-during-the-2022-nfl-season/   So, skipping all the math in determining the total amount of plays in that six year span and averaging it out on a per game basis for all 32 teams, it basically comes out to 6.8 "sneak" plays per season from 2017-2022. So, I also assumed since the basis of this article is on the rise of sneak plays in general over the time period that it has increased at a linear scale until this current season(2025). That would mean basically 9 sneak plays per season, per team.  Using the figures from your article snippet regarding success rate(assuming it is current/accurate) of traditional running plays vs. sneak plays that it would result in a total of 1.6 less successful plays per season without the ability to run a QB sneak at all. I guess my question is, what 1.6 plays have you see each year Bryce that would have resulted in.....well...much of anything different?
    • 4-3, over 500 for first time in career, bills coming off a bye week with a weak defense, hasnt really shown he’s worth an extension, etc. plus if he misses this game then you definitely sit him against Green Bay. 
    • I think horn was covering Jake Ferguson that game which I can understand. Pickens is a monster and most corners in the league can’t man him up, obviously not Jackson. But we absolutely do not have a linebacker that can stay with Ferguson. 
×
×
  • Create New...