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Mesopotamian Mythology and the 2015 Carolina Panthers: A Critical Analysis and Best Case Scenario


Jeremy Igo
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Excellent read.  Thanks!

I was interested in your reference to the sack stats in 2014 and the 2015 preseason.

Here's a fun stat for you. Number of sacks allowed in 2014's preseason: 10 (with countless QB hurries and an injured franchise quarterback.) Number of sacks allowed in 2015's preseason: 5 (despite about a 20% increase in total number of snaps.) Obviously there are too many variables to suggest the offensive line will allow half of last year's sacks, but given what the team was starting last year it's not really that much of a stretch.

I've also been struck by how few sacks we've allowed this preseason.  It got me doing some number crunching.  I'm about to post my findings in a new topic. 

There's not a perfect correlation between low sacks in the preseason and low sacks in the regular season.  But, there is an intriguing pattern with very low sacks in the preseason (both in absolute numbers and as a % of offensive plays) matching our best winning seasons, while we had an extremely high level of preseason sacks in 2010, when we went 2 - 14.

I wonder if the low preseason sack level correlates somehow with a greater level of preseason intensity & competitiveness which translates into success in the regular season...  Anyway, one of those stats that makes me go "Hmmmm..... that's interesting."

 

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thanks for the opportunity jeremy! i'm pretty excited about this.

you all may notice some technical quirks in the article (formatting stuff, mostly) which are a result of transferring the article through different editors. this should be resolved by next week.

I actually didn't like this post I quoted. Kinda sucked actually. But I pied it based on the epic novel you wrote. Nice job dude!

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    • I feel like this trade just lives rent free in people's heads and keeps morphing into different things. First thing is that the rumored trade was for future firsts. They wouldn't have any extra picks in 2023; the firsts would have been for 2024 and 2025. With very few exceptions, NFL GMs don't value picks that far away. You have to have a lot of job security to pull that off. Like Chiefs, Eagles, Rams kinda stability. That's obviously not the case with David Tepper, especially since he'd just fired his head coach. No GM except for like Howie Roseman is going to trade an asset you have now for a future asset you probably get to use.  Second, at the time you'd have to assume these are first rounders late in the first round. Obviously currency is currency and the panthers need young players, but these weren't slam dunk top ten picks. At the end of the day there's one pick that separates a first and second round pick.  Lastly, the only place that ever reported this trade was the Rams. All the reporters just repeated what McVay said and it became gospel. We have no idea how serious the negotiations were, if they ever really happened, if the offer was real, etc. And I personally believe McVay and Sneed are the kind of guys who would make up rumors like that to fug up other teams, mostly because I assume if I've thought of it someone smarter than me has.  I don't know how you'd call it the greatest draft haul of all time. Firsts quickly lose their value the farther out they are and Burns had 16.5 sacks last season. And anyway those picks would probably just been tossed into the burning inferno of the Bryce trade up so it's a moot point anyway. 
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