Draft Position Watch (Week 4 edition)

[Leeroy Jenkins Ph.D.]

With the win this week, the Panthers have fallen from the 1st pick to the 12th pick in the 2021 NFL draft. There are 8 winless teams still ahead of the Panthers. Of the 7, 1 win teams, 3 teams currently have lower Strengths of Schedule (SOS), putting them ahead of the Panthers.

 

Here is the current top 15 draft order and the top 8 games that will affect our draft position

1.       Falcons 0-3 (.521)

2.       Giants 0-3 (.552)

3.       Vikings 0-3 (.583)

4.       Broncos 0-3 (.583)

5.       Jets 0-3 (.646)

6.       Texans 0-3 (.656)

7.       Eagles 0-2-1 (.510)

8.       Bengals 0-2-1 (.510)

9.       Cowboys 1-2 (.406)

10.   Chargers 1-2 (.448)

11.   Saints 1-2 (.448)

12.   Panthers 1-2 (.458)

13.   Lions 1-2 (.521)

14.   Jaguars 1-2 (.522)

15.   Dolphins 1-2 (.552)

 

1)      Falcons (0-3) @ Packers (3-0): A Falcons win has the potential to improve the Panthers draft position.

2)      Giants (0-3) @ Rams (2-1): A Giants win has the potential to improve the Panthers draft position.

3)      Eagles (0-2-1) @ 49ers (2-1): An Eagles win has the potential to improve the Panthers draft position.

4)      Browns (2-1) @ Cowboys (1-2): The Cowboys, while having a similar record, are currently ahead of the Panthers due to a lower SOS

5)      Chargers (1-2) @ Buccaneers (2-1): The Chargers, while having a similar record, are currently ahead of the Panthers due to a lower SOS

6)      Saints (1-2) @ Lions (1-2): The Saints, while having a similar record, are currently ahead of the Panthers due to a lower SOS

7)      Bengals (0-2-1) @ Jaguars (1-2): A Bengals loss could move the Panthers ahead of them in draft position, while the Jaguars are tied with the Panthers and have a higher SOS

8)      Seahawks (3-0) @ Dolphins (1-3): The Dolphins have the same record as the Panthers, so a loss ensures our current position ahead of them.

 

*Two games feature battles of win-less teams. All four currently have higher SOS’s than the Panthers meaning their winner does not matter. Those games are the Vikings @ Texans and Broncos @ Jets.

[LinvilleGorge]

12th would be brutal. We'd be stuck hoping that Trey Lance was there with Lawrence and likely Fields completely out of the question.

[Jeremy Igo]

Lol 12th pick. This joint would go nuts.

 

But we have a pretty darn good history of picking a solid player in that general area.

[Jon Snow]

2 minutes ago, Jeremy Igo said:

Lol 12th pick. This joint would go nuts.

 

But we have a pretty darn good history of picking a solid player in that general area.

It's sad that we have a history of drafting in that particular area.  I would like to see how they do picking dead last in every round for a few years at least.  But that's just my train of thought.

[stirs]

Big OT

[mrcompletely11]

8 minutes ago, Jeremy Igo said:

Lol 12th pick. This joint would go nuts.

 

But we have a pretty darn good history of picking a solid player in that general area.

I hope you see the irony in that statement

[stbugs]

11 minutes ago, Jeremy Igo said:

Lol 12th pick. This joint would go nuts.

 

But we have a pretty darn good history of picking a solid player in that general area.

Beyond brutal. Solid player but another close to .500 season to follow.

I’m already off the top pick bandwagon. Beating the Chargers along with the plethora of really bad teams pretty much sealed the deal. 12th would suck because there are solid guys in the top but I’m fairly certain the studs don’t go 12 deep.

[GoPanthers123]

Sounds about right.  We will lose some games due to CMC injury but otherwise we are in that range.

[Jeremy Igo]

1 minute ago, stbugs said:

Beyond brutal. Solid player but another close to .500 season to follow.

I’m already off the top pick bandwagon. Beating the Chargers along with the plethora of really bad teams pretty much sealed the deal. 12th would suck because there are solid guys in the top but I’m fairly certain the studs don’t go 12 deep.

It will be a .500 season or worse with a rookie QB starting. 

[mrcompletely11]

1 minute ago, Jeremy Igo said:

It will be a .500 season or worse with a rookie QB starting. 

Andrew luck laughs at you

[Tbe]

4 minutes ago, Jeremy Igo said:

It will be a .500 season or worse with a rookie QB starting. 

At least there would be hope for the future.

[Jeremy Igo]

5 minutes ago, mrcompletely11 said:

Andrew luck laughs at you

Does Cam Newton also?

[stbugs]

5 minutes ago, Jeremy Igo said:

It will be a .500 season or worse with a rookie QB starting. 

What they said above. I knew we were rebuilding so I didn’t care about the records in 2020 and 2021. Having a ceiling of .500 is different than a rookie QB working out the kinks and then having a nice upside to 2022+.

I was fine moving on from Cam because of all of the injuries. Unfortunately, we weren’t in a good spot with Cam. He wanted a decent sized deal with us. I don’t think we could have signed him to the same deal that NE did. That said, I want a QB with his upside not Teddy’s. Sure we could build a team around him but that same good team around him is a great team around a better QB.

[MHS831]

thanks Leeroy. 

New York (both teams combined) may not win 4 games.  I see the big apple getting the first 2 picks.

The Saints, Cowboys,  Vikings, Texans, and maybe the Broncos and Falcons (who should be 2-1) are likely to have better records by the end of the year.   I see us between 5-7, but anything can happen.  Dallas is 1-2 and the SOS is .400.  yikes---one onside kick from 0-3.