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Bryce's Achilles Heel Is Not What You Think It Is


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Every player has faults, and many times they can be categorized neatly into obvious traits that make analysis pretty straight-forward. A running back who thrives in zone schemes where their vision and patience is rewarded may struggle when asked to play a physical, violent, north-south style. A quarterback who can make every throw under the sun may never grasp the schematic purpose of the plays he is being asked to run and therefore constantly makes the wrong decision or no decision even with players running free.

But the narrative for Bryce Young has almost consistently focused on his size and overall physicality in a league full of supermen, and how it places a hard limit on his ability to do things like shrug off blockers or throw tactical nuclear strikes from 80 yards out. Two seasons plus in hasn't put those concerns fully to rest, but if there is one underlining trait that could potentially derail Bryce's career, it's much more nebulous: his ability to recognize when a play is dead.

The proclivity for turnovers that has haunted Bryce through his career doesn't always have the same underlying reasons as most typical young quarterbacks: adjusting to the speed of play, the tightness of NFL throwing windows, being able to diagnose much more advanced coverages, understanding the playbook, etc. One consistent thread is a defining trait that is both a curse and a strength: his ability to make plays off script, which has carried over from his Alabama days. For every miracle escape and razor-margin throw downfield like the 4th down play vs the Dolphins, you seem to have an inexcusable dropped fumble without even being touched (also see Dolphins game.) And the genesis of both is his underlying aggressiveness to make something happen with every snap, sometimes even when the play itself is simply unsalvageable.

What often gets Young into trouble isn't an inability to execute a play, but his unwillingness to concede that the risk/reward ratio for a given decision simply isn't worth the attempt. There are few things that will drive a coach to putting a schematic leash on a player more quickly then when that player's outcomes become unpredictable, and even multiple miracle plays can be negated by a single colossal mistake. Where Bryce must find a balance is retaining the ability to conjure magic when needed, but to also keep his risk/reward instincts fully calibrated to what the team as a whole is comfortable with. No successful coach is entirely risk-averse, and many tend to be overly conservative in situations that decides the outcome of games, but "bad" Bryce sometimes emerges in situations where the only correct decision is to simply eat the ball and move on to the next play or next drive. If he can develop a better understanding of this flaw and work to overcome it without abandoning the traits that also make him special, he will take one step closer to becoming the player this franchise sacrificed so much for and redeeming that faith with the entire fanbase.

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Makes sense. And with most players like this you just have to take the good with the bad. Bryce’s problem is that it was pretty much all bad early on and now I’d argue it’s much more even. 
 

Overall the guys he’s throwing it to are young and as they begin to trust each other that should all improve. 

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No, it's his arm, plain and simple.  

He has the weakest arm of any starting QB in the NFL, that will always be an issue for him no matter what else he improves on.

And don't point to him zipping in that 4th down pass this weekend as to him having a strong enough arm, that's not the same thing.  He's unable to drive balls into spots downfield like almost every other starting QB, which is a problem.  But even more than that, it's when he has to throw off base, as he doesn't have the adequate arm strength to still make those throws at a high enough level like most other QB's can.  

It's why we see so many of those throws come up short of the WR, sometimes well short, and not on purpose by him, but you can just see he's putting his all behind the throw but he's off base and doesn't have the arm to make up for it.

And yes, I know he does still make some good throws when he's on the move, but that's still only the case when he's able to have a balanced and purposeful throw.  You know the plays I"m talking about, they're painfully obvious, and they're throws all the good QB's are able to make because of the difference in arm (and just body) strength.

Edited by tukafan21
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2 minutes ago, tukafan21 said:

No, it's his arm, plain and simple.  

He has the weakest arm of any starting QB in the NFL, that will always be an issue for him no matter what else he improves on.

And don't point to him zipping in that 4th down pass this weekend as to him having a strong enough arm, that's not the same thing.  He's unable to drive balls into spots downfield like almost every other starting QB, which is a problem.  But even more than that, it's when he has to throw off base, as he doesn't have the adequate arm strength to still make those throws at a high enough level like most other QB's can.  

It's why we see so many of those throws come up short of the WR, sometimes well short, and not on purpose by him, but you can just see he's putting his all behind the throw but he's off base and doesn't have the arm to make up for it.

100% He will have to develop more arch on his throws to get it further downfield. Right now he is comfortable throwing no more than 20 yards.

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36 minutes ago, tukafan21 said:

No, it's his arm, plain and simple.  

He has the weakest arm of any starting QB in the NFL, that will always be an issue for him no matter what else he improves on.

And don't point to him zipping in that 4th down pass this weekend as to him having a strong enough arm, that's not the same thing.  He's unable to drive balls into spots downfield like almost every other starting QB, which is a problem.  But even more than that, it's when he has to throw off base, as he doesn't have the adequate arm strength to still make those throws at a high enough level like most other QB's can.  

It's why we see so many of those throws come up short of the WR, sometimes well short, and not on purpose by him, but you can just see he's putting his all behind the throw but he's off base and doesn't have the arm to make up for it.

And yes, I know he does still make some good throws when he's on the move, but that's still only the case when he's able to have a balanced and purposeful throw.  You know the plays I"m talking about, they're painfully obvious, and they're throws all the good QB's are able to make because of the difference in arm (and just body) strength.

And you could see it pre draft, just go look at his pro day.  At the end where he starts throwing deep he has to use his whole body, it's really ugly and looks like a shot put.  Then when you see Stroud at the combine throwing the same distance just flicking his wrist. I don't understand what the Panthers saw in Bryce

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It might be his biggest problem. The offense’s biggest problem is the limitations on tne playbook. You can’t open it up.  

But am sure I will be quickly put in my place by someone who is really smart. 

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1 hour ago, tukafan21 said:

No, it's his arm, plain and simple.  

He has the weakest arm of any starting QB in the NFL, that will always be an issue for him no matter what else he improves on.

And don't point to him zipping in that 4th down pass this weekend as to him having a strong enough arm, that's not the same thing.  He's unable to drive balls into spots downfield like almost every other starting QB, which is a problem.  But even more than that, it's when he has to throw off base, as he doesn't have the adequate arm strength to still make those throws at a high enough level like most other QB's can.  

It's why we see so many of those throws come up short of the WR, sometimes well short, and not on purpose by him, but you can just see he's putting his all behind the throw but he's off base and doesn't have the arm to make up for it.

And yes, I know he does still make some good throws when he's on the move, but that's still only the case when he's able to have a balanced and purposeful throw.  You know the plays I"m talking about, they're painfully obvious, and they're throws all the good QB's are able to make because of the difference in arm (and just body) strength.

This a flat out false. Guys like Tua, Burrow, Purdy, Hurts, all have weaker arms. None of you know how to gauge arm strength. Even former QBs (Dilfer, O’Sullivan) who saw Bryce workout next to Stroud have mentioned Bryce has a good enough arm

Weak arm QBs don’t attempt these type of throws

https://x.com/postfadecade/status/1826065791613379053

 

https://x.com/JoshNorris/status/1863603221387714828

 

 

 

 

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Quote

He's unable to drive balls into spots downfield like almost every other starting QB

JT says it better than me: "This is a ***ing laser. . .This for all the guys who say he can't make all the throws. That's the throw."

Does he do this every snap? No. But to say that he can't drive the ball downfield is categorically false by any standard.

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Whenever I watch non-Alabama QBs in the NFL throw I find myself marveling at the velocity and intensity of their passes. I have to ground myself because those are what NFL arms are supposed to look like and I’m just so used to seeing a weak noodle arm passer. He makes good throws here and there, but his norm is that weak arm. 
If it’s not genetically impossible, is it “bad” for a QB to develop arm strength in the offseason? 

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14 minutes ago, GoobyPls said:

This a flat out false. Guys like Tua, Burrow, Purdy, Hurts, all have weaker arms. None of you know how to gauge arm strength. Even former QBs (Dilfer, O’Sullivan) who saw Bryce workout next to Stroud have mentioned Bryce has a good enough arm

Weak arm QBs don’t attempt these type of throws

https://x.com/postfadecade/status/1826065791613379053

 

https://x.com/JoshNorris/status/1863603221387714828

 

 

 

 

I don't think the average fan understands how much arm strength is considered a "nice to have" in NFL circles. This isn't the 80s, it's an accuracy-based league first and foremost.

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1 hour ago, jfra78 said:

And you could see it pre draft, just go look at his pro day.  At the end where he starts throwing deep he has to use his whole body, it's really ugly and looks like a shot put.  Then when you see Stroud at the combine throwing the same distance just flicking his wrist. I don't understand what the Panthers saw in Bryce

I remember He had to get a running start on those deep throws at his pro day and he was still missing on them. I mean cot damn...Bryce was far and away a Tepper pick. No way the coaching staff was buying it.

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See, I think one of his biggest issues is he bails too early. 

His instinct has been to bail as soon as defenders get behind him and the pocket starts to close in.

Taller QBs hang in there for that extra second or two and throw over guys as the pocket collapses in the QBs lap. 

BY runs as soon as this starts to happen, which means routes don’t have time to develop and the field gets cut in half as soon as he runs.

This last game I saw some signs of him being willing to hang in the pocket when the defense gets behind him, but that has been rare.

 

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3 hours ago, fieryprophet said:

Every player has faults, and many times they can be categorized neatly into obvious traits that make analysis pretty straight-forward. A running back who thrives in zone schemes where their vision and patience is rewarded may struggle when asked to play a physical, violent, north-south style. A quarterback who can make every throw under the sun may never grasp the schematic purpose of the plays he is being asked to run and therefore constantly makes the wrong decision or no decision even with players running free.

But the narrative for Bryce Young has almost consistently focused on his size and overall physicality in a league full of supermen, and how it places a hard limit on his ability to do things like shrug off blockers or throw tactical nuclear strikes from 80 yards out. Two seasons plus in hasn't put those concerns fully to rest, but if there is one underlining trait that could potentially derail Bryce's career, it's much more nebulous: his ability to recognize when a play is dead.

The proclivity for turnovers that has haunted Bryce through his career doesn't always have the same underlying reasons as most typical young quarterbacks: adjusting to the speed of play, the tightness of NFL throwing windows, being able to diagnose much more advanced coverages, understanding the playbook, etc. One consistent thread is a defining trait that is both a curse and a strength: his ability to make plays off script, which has carried over from his Alabama days. For every miracle escape and razor-margin throw downfield like the 4th down play vs the Dolphins, you seem to have an inexcusable dropped fumble without even being touched (also see Dolphins game.) And the genesis of both is his underlying aggressiveness to make something happen with every snap, sometimes even when the play itself is simply unsalvageable.

What often gets Young into trouble isn't an inability to execute a play, but his unwillingness to concede that the risk/reward ratio for a given decision simply isn't worth the attempt. There are few things that will drive a coach to putting a schematic leash on a player more quickly then when that player's outcomes become unpredictable, and even multiple miracle plays can be negated by a single colossal mistake. Where Bryce must find a balance is retaining the ability to conjure magic when needed, but to also keep his risk/reward instincts fully calibrated to what the team as a whole is comfortable with. No successful coach is entirely risk-averse, and many tend to be overly conservative in situations that decides the outcome of games, but "bad" Bryce sometimes emerges in situations where the only correct decision is to simply eat the ball and move on to the next play or next drive. If he can develop a better understanding of this flaw and work to overcome it without abandoning the traits that also make him special, he will take one step closer to becoming the player this franchise sacrificed so much for and redeeming that faith with the entire fanbase.

Sounds like a tad bit of what Josh Allen had. He would make throws that made zero sense die to his desire to make a make. Bryce also turns the ball over believing their is an unlimited shot clock in those moments. Sometimes the best play is to reset for the next one. 

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