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Probable NFL draft order IF PANTHERS WIN


MHS831

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44 minutes ago, Daddy_Uncle said:

If we are inthe top 10 we are getting a really good pick. Not worried about it

I do not agree about the worrying part, but if we do---here is my Big board top 10:

Trevor Lawrence

Clemson

QB  Gonna be gone.

Penei Sewell

Oregon

T   One of the best LTs in years—top 3 pick

Justin Fields

Ohio State

QB  He might be the third best QB

Zach Wilson

BYU

QB  Good fit for Brady’s system

Trey Lance

North Dakota State

QB  I have always liked him—real deal

Micah Parsons

Penn State

OLB  A good LB, but we have bigger needs

Gregory Rousseau

Miami-Fl

DE  A three-headed pass rush + Brown?

Caleb Farley

Virginia Tech

CB  Best CB in the draft—big need

Patrick Surtain II

Alabama

CB Maybe the best CB in draft.

Ja'Marr Chase

LSU

WR  Best WR in draft—if we can’t keep Samuel

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38 minutes ago, blackcat said:

Washington is playing for a divisional title, Ron's not going to fuq us and lose on purpose.

No, but if we play as if we have nothing to lose, and RR is playing conservatively, it can work against him--pressure vs. no pressure; risky play calling vs. conservative, etc. The most dangerous opponent is one with nothing to lose, hoping to earn respect at your expense.

 

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Let's say Ron finds a way to screw us again in late December:

I added week 17 opponents and predictions to gauge where we'd be if we won vs. Washington.  SOS is always difficult to impossible, so I am assuming that it does not change much--of course, it could create a margin of error of about 1 pick or 2 picks in extreme situations.

13. e-Chargers  6-9  (-3 Broncos) SOS: .484; Week 17—at KC.  KC could have it wrapped up and decide to play the second team.  Do not rule out an upset here, but if the Chargers beat Denver week 16, this has no impact on Carolina (Prediction: L, 6-10)

12.  Eagles 5-9-1 (Dallas-1.5 pts)  SOS—not a factor  Week 17—vs. Washington (this will be a close game, especially if it is for the division, prediction L, 5-10-1)

11. e – Broncos 5-10 (Chargers +3 ) SOS: .558  Week 17—vs. Raiders (cold in Denver in Jan, Raiders with nothing to play for—Lock trying to secure job, prediction W, 6-10)

10. e -- Texans  5-10  (Houston is 8 point favorites vs. Cincy)  SOS: .551; Week 17---vs. Tennessee (The Titans could have a playoff bid locked up and empty the bench, but I think they will still be in a fight with Indy, prediction L   5-11)

9.  e -- 49ers 5-10 (Cards +5) SOS: .547; Week 17—vs. Seahawks (Seattle should need this game. Prediction L, 5-11)

8. Panthers 5-10  (IF PANTHERS WIN vs Washington) SOS: .531; Week 17—vs. New Orleans (This could get interesting because the Saints may only be playing for the difference between the #2 and #3 seeds—if so, and Brees is still a bit banged up, Hill could be the QB. I think he should have sat for the KC game, but Brees likes the national TV games.  Prediction L (5-11)

7. e – Lions 5-10 (Buccaneers +9.5) SOS: .509; Week 17—vs. Vikings.  Bad teams are so difficult to predict, but I give the edge to Minnesota in a close game and Stafford’s last in Detroit.  Prediction, L  5-11)

 

6. Giants 5-10 (Ravens +10)  SOS: .502 Week 17:  vs. Dallas.  Who can predict the NFC East?  Dallas on road in cold in January?  Prediction W, 6-10)

5. e -- Cowboys 5-10 (Philly is slightly favored over Dallas-1.5 pts) SOS: .475; Week 17---at Giants. The good news?  If the Giants and Cowboys are sitting there with 5 wins going into week 17, only one team picks before the Panthers at the end of the day.  Prediction L  5-11). 

4. e -- Falcons  4-11  (KC will win) SOS: .536; Week 17—at Tampa Bay.  Bucs probably in a wild card or division race, so it could get ugly.  Prediction, L , 4-12)

 

3. e -- Bengals 3-11-1 (Houston -8); Week 17---Bengals play Baltimore and lose.  If the Bengals lose to Houston and Baltimore, they wrap up the #3 spot in the draft, and that is likely.  3-12-1)

2.  e -- Jets  1-14  Week 17—at New England.  Slight chance of winning that one.

1. e -- Jaguars  1-14  Week 17—at Colts---Jags win the Trevor Sweepstakes. 

SOS: Strength of Schedule as of 12/23/20

If the Panthers lose both games, they will be  4th  through 6th  overall if all favorites win, depending on SOS

Here are the standings if all goes as predicted above (Panthers winning 1, losing 1):

 

1.      Jaguars 1-15

2.      Jets 1-15

3.      Bengals 3-12-1

4.      Falcons 4-12

5.      Cowboys 5-11

6.      Lions 5-11

7.      Panthers 5-11

8.      49ers 5-11

9.      Texans 5-11

OK, let's assume we lose out--I see about a 10% chance of us picking at #3, a 50% chance at #4 and a 40% chance at #5.  Completely speculative.

If we win one and lose one, I see us at #7 or #8

If we win both games left, I will not care about our place because I will be on my way to Mint Street with a ski mask and a sock full of pennies to give some folks the beat down of all beat downs.

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12 hours ago, Rags said:

I'm not bitter with Ron, but even if I was I can see the big picture and don't give a single poo about a petty revenge game.

 

Bengals won Monday. We have a real shot at 3.

They play Houston, and I could not believe that Houson was favored by 8.  I would have guessed 4 or 5.

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19 hours ago, GoPanthers123 said:

We played GB close so since when is WAS on same level as them? I think a panther win is highly possible

We played everyone except Tampa and Detroit close.  And lost most of them in the end.  We played Denver just as close as we did Green Bay and KC.  And Washington has a better defense than most of the teams we have played this season.  While anything is possible, Washington will likely beat us.  

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