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CBS floor and ceiling for each team


Captain Morgan
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1 hour ago, PNW_PantherMan said:

Two games is the difference in 9 and 11 wins, which is the difference in your ceiling and CBS's.  We haven't beaten Tampa since Tom has been there.  That would be a big swing to sweep them.

The odds of us beating a Tom Tampa team seem extremely low. This isn't Rivera who had Tom's number. 

 

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19 hours ago, t96 said:

I could see 11-12 wins easily if we stay fully healthy and Mayfield and the line prove to be the real deal. That’s probably our ceiling in a perfect situation. Agree our floor is less

Even if all goes well it’s going to be hard to win 11 games with that schedule. 

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vscle.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Browns  45% chance of winning
 
@nyg.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Giants 55% chance of winning
 
vsno.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oSaints 55% chance of winning
 
vsari.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Cardinals 40% chance of winning
 
vssf.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=o49ers 35% chance of winning
 
@lar.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Rams 30% chance of winning
 
vstb.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oBuccaneers 45% chance of winning
 
@atl.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Falcons 55% chance of winning
 
@cin.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Bengals 40% chance of winning
 
vsatl.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Falcons 60% chance of winning
 
@bal.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Ravens 40% chance of winning
 
vsden.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Broncos 45% chance of winning
 
@sea.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Seahawks 55% chance of winning
 
vspit.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Steelers 55% chance of winning
 
vsdet.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Lions 60% chance of winning
 
@tb.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oBuccaneers 35% chance of winning
 
@no.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oSaints 50% chance of winning
 
No real theory with my percentages just my thought as I looked at the matchup. With that being said, if the Panthers win all of the 45% or better games that is 11-6 and what I would predict the ceiling is. If they lose all of the 55% or lower games they would be 2-15 and would be my floor.
 
Realistically they are 8 or 9 wins unless things go great or really bad.
 
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18 hours ago, Smithers said:

Am I the only one who thinks our defense is better with Luvu instead of Reddick?  Reddick couldn’t stop anyone besides the QB - he was a huge liability.  Luvu is an upgrade.  

Im a big Luvu fan, but I do think this is wrong. Reddick was not that bad against the run...burns was. Not idea how it started, but once the rumor started "reddick sucks against the run"...seemed to me anyone saying that needs to go back and find the proof. While 240 LBs, he was holding his own verse those 330 man-beast.  Panthers as a whole had HUGE issues with stopping the run too, I believe they were last or next to. Teams had more success running at others than reddick.  

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35 minutes ago, Thomas31873 said:
vscle.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Browns  45% chance of winning
 
@nyg.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Giants 55% chance of winning
 
vsno.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oSaints 55% chance of winning
 
vsari.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Cardinals 40% chance of winning
 
vssf.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=o49ers 35% chance of winning
 
@lar.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Rams 30% chance of winning
 
vstb.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oBuccaneers 45% chance of winning
 
@atl.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Falcons 55% chance of winning
 
@cin.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Bengals 40% chance of winning
 
vsatl.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Falcons 60% chance of winning
 
@bal.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Ravens 40% chance of winning
 
vsden.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Broncos 45% chance of winning
 
@sea.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Seahawks 55% chance of winning
 
vspit.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Steelers 55% chance of winning
 
vsdet.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Lions 60% chance of winning
 
@tb.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oBuccaneers 35% chance of winning
 
@no.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oSaints 50% chance of winning
 
No real theory with my percentages just my thought as I looked at the matchup. With that being said, if the Panthers win all of the 45% or better games that is 11-6 and what I would predict the ceiling is. If they lose all of the 55% or lower games they would be 2-15 and would be my floor.
 
Realistically they are 8 or 9 wins unless things go great or really bad.
 

wuuuuuttttttt??????

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50 minutes ago, mrcompletely11 said:

wuuuuuttttttt??????

I said...

vscle.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Browns  45% chance of winning
 
@nyg.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Giants 55% chance of winning
 
vsno.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oSaints 55% chance of winning
 
vsari.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Cardinals 40% chance of winning
 
vssf.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=o49ers 35% chance of winning
 
@lar.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Rams 30% chance of winning
 
vstb.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oBuccaneers 45% chance of winning
 
@atl.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Falcons 55% chance of winning
 
@cin.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Bengals 40% chance of winning
 
vsatl.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Falcons 60% chance of winning
 
@bal.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Ravens 40% chance of winning
 
vsden.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Broncos 45% chance of winning
 
@sea.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Seahawks 55% chance of winning
 
vspit.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Steelers 55% chance of winning
 
vsdet.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=Lions 60% chance of winning
 
@tb.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oBuccaneers 35% chance of winning
 
@no.png&scale=crop&cquality=40&location=oSaints 50% chance of winning
 
No real theory with my percentages just my thought as I looked at the matchup. With that being said, if the Panthers win all of the 45% or better games that is 11-6 and what I would predict the ceiling is. If they lose all of the 55% or lower games they would be 2-15 and would be my floor.
 
Realistically they are 8 or 9 wins unless things go great or really bad.
 
Hope that clears it up.
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People have been saying 9 wins would be a successful season. But we are now on year 3. So what if the last 3 years have had 5 wins. 9 win ceiling is unacceptable in year 3. I am looking at 11 wins or more to call this year a success. 
9-8 means the 7th seed and the pleasure of getting out asses handed to us by the number 2 seed. 
 

Ceiling: 11+ wins

Floor: 4 wins. 

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