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Predicting Bryce Young's rookie year

NAS

By NAS,
in Carolina Panthers

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csx Grand Master

csx

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, tukafan21 said:

He better not, that was the main selling point on him, that his processing and mental side of the game were next level and more ready than any other QB in recent memory from that standpoint.

His negatives were his size and durability (nothing to do there but not get hurt) and that he doesn't have any truly elite physical traits (i.e. arm strength, speed, etc).  Those are things that can just tank him as a QB if he can't prove them wrong, but the whole thing with him is that his mental side of the game was supposed to be so good, that those things shouldn't be issues for him.

Sure, some early mistakes, but that better not be where he struggles or it will be concerning as that's what he's supposed to be so good at figuring out and overcoming.  I'll take it the first half of the season, but if that's an issue late in the year, that's scary.

He's a rookie. 

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csx Grand Master

csx

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Posted (edited)

I'm thinking the realm of 3700 yards. 24 tds. 14 interceptions.  Probably 300 yds rushing a 3 rushing tds...

Rookie QBs struggle and this would be a good start. Id hope for a good run/pass ballance as Reich  and Brown have spoke of.

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Sam the Cat Community Regular

Sam the Cat

Posted
Posted

2800 yrds in 14 games

21 td - 9 int

64.5% passing (his senior yr number)

He will miss games for little injuries

Low td numbers are expected I also belief he is good in terms of ints so 9 is vwry very good number for a rookie.  His td number will be conservative...more running tds and grpund game will be more featured, especially in thw first half the season.

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NAS Grand Master

NAS

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2 hours ago, jfra78 said:

Peyton Manning is probably the most cerebral QB we've seen and his rookie season was littered with interceptions.

There's an adjustment period for all players, even really talented 1st round picks

Different era, Manning played at the height when defenses dominated and were allowed to do so by the rules

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LordOfDaWingz Collaborator

LordOfDaWingz

Posted
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6 hours ago, NAS said:

Different era, Manning played at the height when defenses dominated and were allowed to do so by the rules

This. Offenses have evolved. The new wave of Elite Qb’s show they are elite from the jump. The only Qb that improved was Josh Allen. However Mahomes, Burrow, & Herbert each threw 66%, and had no more than 12 interceptions in their first year as a starter. 
 

Pat Mahomes: 66%, 5,000+ pass yards, 50 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, rating of 113.8 (2018)

Joe Burrow: 65%, close to 2800 pass yards, 13 touchdowns, 5 interceptions, rating of 89.8 in 10 games started (2020)

Justin Herbert: 67%, 4300+ pass yards, 31 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, rating of 98.3

 

These players had the same statistical profile as Bryce coming out of college & it translated well to the league. 

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poundaway Grand Master

poundaway

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Its Young's rookie season.  I expect him to be better than what we've had recently  and to outperform the other rookie QBs, but its very unlikely he'll be all pro this season.

Trevor Lawrence   was  3641  yards 12 TD's  17 Ints his rookie year.

I'm hoping Young does better than that his rookie year.

 


 

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ForJimmy Grand Master

ForJimmy

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5 minutes ago, poundaway said:

Its Young's rookie season.  I expect him to be better than what we've had recently  and to outperform the other rookie QBs, but its very unlikely he'll be all pro this season.

Trevor Lawrence   was  3641  yards 12 TD's  17 Ints his rookie year.

I'm hoping Young does better than that his rookie year.

 


 

Yeah that was with an awful HC.

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TheCasillas Grand Master

TheCasillas

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6 minutes ago, poundaway said:

Its Young's rookie season.  I expect him to be better than what we've had recently  and to outperform the other rookie QBs, but its very unlikely he'll be all pro this season.

Trevor Lawrence   was  3641  yards 12 TD's  17 Ints his rookie year.

I'm hoping Young does better than that his rookie year.

 


 

Even if Young has a bad first year... I will remember Peyton Manning's first year and Trevor Lawrence helps drive recency bias.

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      Bryce Young 5th year option exercised

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      Nobody is giving up a 4th rounder for a backup QB And anyone who needs a starter badly enough to where Bryce would then be their starter, is such a bad team that they're not giving up a pick likely to be about pick 105ish overall, instead of just dealing with a bad QB situation for a season and then drafting one in a loaded QB draft next year. I'm looking through all the teams right now and can't think of a single one that would be willing to part with anything better than a 6th rounder. Barring injuries (and excluding the Panthers), there look to be 10 teams who don't know with 100% certainty who their starting QB will be in 2027... Dolphins, Jets, Browns, Steelers, Vikings, Colts, Saints, Falcons, Cardinals, and Rams. Of those 10...  The Rams know it will be Stafford or Simpson.  The Saints more than likely will be sticking with Shough unless he takes a huge step backwards.  So neither are giving up any draft picks for Bryce right now, just wouldn't make sense for either. Down to 8 Given their current QB situation of having multiple QBs they already need to evaluate between this year, the Browns (Shedeur/Watson), Vikings (Kyler/JJ), Colts (Jones/Richardson/Leonard), and Falcons (Penix/Tua), wouldn't be giving up a 4th (or maybe any pick) to bring in another QB to muddy the waters even more. Down to 4 Dolphins just signed Willis and wouldn't want to bring in another small Alabama QB who has struggled after just dumping Tua instead of just rolling with Ewers as the backup.   That then leaves the Steelers, Cardinals, and Jets left as it's clear none of them have any idea who their 2027 could be as of right now.  But the Steelers would for sure rather just see what one of the 2 QB's they drafted in the last 2 drafts could become than give up a mid round pick for Bryce.  Same goes for the Cardinals in taking Beck this past weekend. The Jets would be the most likely team to even consider taking him on, but I think it seems very apparent right now given them rolling with Geno and now talk of bringing in Wilson to be his backup, they're punting on QB this year to draft someone next year, so why give up even a mid round pick for Bryce?
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