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2024 Carolina Panthers record prediction


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I'd say 4-13 and enough close ones to not look completely terrible.  Hard to see us above the bottom 3-4 in the league.  If we're lucky, 6-11.  

Probably the lowest my expectations have ever been but we don't have a proven playmaker on offense.  Can't say for sure about the OL either or the playbook.  On defense, could be aight, ceiling is around #13-15 DVOA.  

If we still seem incapable of moving the ball against the bad teams, it'll be a problemo.  

 

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1 hour ago, Bear Hands said:

I'd say 4-13 and enough close ones to not look completely terrible.  Hard to see us above the bottom 3-4 in the league.  If we're lucky, 6-11.  

Probably the lowest my expectations have ever been but we don't have a proven playmaker on offense.  Can't say for sure about the OL either or the playbook.  On defense, could be aight, ceiling is around #13-15 DVOA.  

If we still seem incapable of moving the ball against the bad teams, it'll be a problemo.  

 

I kind of feel like this is why we drafted Brooks where we did.  Once healthy he has a pretty high floor IMO and should give us some sort of identity at minimum.  Was it high for a running back?  Yeah, especially for a team with so many needs, but I think Morgan just wanted picks that will be solid players at worst with high potential as well.  As weird as it sounds he was kind of a "safe" pick.  

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5 hours ago, ForJimmy said:

I kind of feel like this is why we drafted Brooks where we did.  Once healthy he has a pretty high floor IMO and should give us some sort of identity at minimum.  Was it high for a running back?  Yeah, especially for a team with so many needs, but I think Morgan just wanted picks that will be solid players at worst with high potential as well.  As weird as it sounds he was kind of a "safe" pick.  

I see your angle and don’t disagree. Having a guy to be the lynchpin on offense is critical and could very well be Brooks. He’s a damn good RB. Outside of him and Benson, I don’t think there’s many in the past 5 years better than them as prospects outside of Bijan, Jacobs, Gibbs and Breece. 

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4-13

i just didn’t see any reason for optimism last year. Maybe we will have some better playmakers, but I don’t think it will matter. If we win, it’s because our offensive efficiency got marginally better but the defense is Top 5. Offense still won’t be able to score with what Bryce showed a year ago. 

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17 hours ago, Bear Hands said:

I'd say 4-13 and enough close ones to not look completely terrible.  Hard to see us above the bottom 3-4 in the league.  If we're lucky, 6-11.  

Probably the lowest my expectations have ever been but we don't have a proven playmaker on offense.  Can't say for sure about the OL either or the playbook.  On defense, could be aight, ceiling is around #13-15 DVOA.  

If we still seem incapable of moving the ball against the bad teams, it'll be a problemo.  

 

My biggest point of interest is actually not going to be Bryce but our offseason additions. If the signings and rookies look like poo, all bets are off for a few years. 

The biggesy hurdle we have is that FO and the cycle of terrible decision making year after year. If we can't at least pull back up to a Gettleman/Hurney level, we are in a lot of trouble.

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Obviously so much has been invested in this offense in the 2023 and 2024 offseasons, and there are no more excuses for the QB. I would say that makes me more excited for this year than last. 

My biggest curiosity is scheme/Young what is that going to look like? I have my own general picture of what I think it will look like and if the people up front are what we are paying for then the running game should be much improved. At least from the standpoint of moving the LOS in the right direction when we need to have a yard. That would be a great help.

But I don’t know yet how they can get the defenses backed off and that’s what I am curious to see. 

I’m not worried really at all over the receiving options I think there are plenty it comes down to can they get the ball in their hands through the air. 

 

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5-12 seems likely imo. We don't have the weapons on offense, and Bryce is limited in what he can do. The defense is nothing special. We're going to run into the usual couple terrible teams, and throw in a fluke win against a decent team. If we win more than 5 games, then Bryce will have done more than what I'm expecting.

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    • Who is "they"?  Who in the media still argues that Bryce Young could reach the levels that people thought he would before the draft? I mean, nobody is going to come outright and bash the kid.  By all accounts he's a good dude and I think that is why you don't see the media come after him like they did Zach Wilson.
    • It started during the Denver game after that first drive. i don’t think the panthers got a first down again until the fourth quarter. 
    • The Panthers will finish with at least 7-8 wins.  So that leaves them with only two "smart" choices in my opinion: 1. Sign a reasonably priced free agent QB and see if they are better than Bryce Young in training camp - The issue is there will be very little options.  There is almost no way the Colts let Daniel Jones walk.  Rodgers, Flacco, and Wilson will likely retire (and is Wilson better than Bryce anyway?).  Winston is under contract with the Giants for another year.  That leaves Mariota, which I'm all for, but the Commanders will make a big push to keep him given Daniels' injury history.  Outside of him, there is literally nobody else. 2. Stick with Bryce Young for one more year - Nobody wants this to happen, but the Panthers won't be in a position to draft one in the first round and it isn't a strong class to begin with.  Mendoza, Simpson (and do we really want an Alabama QB?), and Moore will likely all be off the board by the time we pick.  Bryce isn't good, but we are still 5-4.  I'd rather continue to build the rest of the team than reach for a QB.  Then we could set ourselves up nicely in 2027 to make a splash play if we choose.  This is how we should have approached years past; stuck with Kyle Allen or Sam Darnold or Teddy Bridgewater and kept building the team until we were ready to make a splash.  But every year we panicked and did something stupid. There is the idea you could throw a dart at a guy in the later arounds, but IMO this just isn't a good QB class and odds are it will be a wasted pick.  I still think we need a lot of depth on the defense.  I'd rather focus there.
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