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Suggestion for Ron, Mike, and Sean


raleigh-panther

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I am just a nobody. Long time NFL fan and a Panthers season ticket holder.

what I see is a team  that is out  physicaled in every single phase of the game

Hanging their heads, woe is us.

i never thought I would see a Panthers team like that since the days of Siefert 

Simply put. go back to basic football. I don't care if they run three basic  plays and a basic defense but move the chains, eat up the clock.    Get the 10 yards.

No zone read. No throw the ball 30 when you need 7  10 yards at a time

Put a TE or  FB  in the backfield (not named Tolbert) and run it again and again and again   

Find something  that catastrophe of a line can do, dumb it down, and do it

As for Cam, if he is hurt sit him

A few physical first downs would do this team a lot of good  

One  other thing, Rivera needs to get his ass in the game  standing their like a statue is ridiculous, 

 

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I think they need to practice read options hundreds of times this week. So they can get the hand off exchange corrected. They need to start playing micro ball, aka going for the first down instead of trying to surprise a team deep down the field in your own half. We have a great Punter but that gives the team no excuse to call that deep bullshit in our own half of the 50.

Now... Another thing that needs to get done is calling that bullshit inside the 30 of the other teams half. That's right... On 3rd and 1you chuck that puppy into the end zone and go for the killing blow. Graham gano can come through a couple times a game for us. This isn't as catastrophic as a sack and punt, we will 80% of the time walk away with 3. And putting points up on the board is better than no points on the board for this offense.

 

Shula needs to incorporate some sort of section in the playbook where Benjamin's name is highlighted in Red. You get the football to your 6'5 240 guy idgaf who is covering him 1v1 the slant is his best ball over the middle. You tell Cam that if you're going to launch the ball in there as hard as you can then Anderson is in. There are times for touch passing and times for throwing the ball to a spot where only Benjamin can get to it if he does throw it with some sauce on it. You never throw high, ever.... Ever.... Bad poo will happen.

 

Lastly, where is the trickery in the offense? We saw it against Denver and it worked on them, incorporate a section of the playbook labeled Ted ginn jr  and execute it. 

Keep all the QB keepers for when we are in our own half and need a 1st down but are mindful the defense possibly knows what we would otherwise do, such as a handoff to the back or Tolbert. Or a 30 yard pass.

 

Then our wounds on offense are somewhat healed. 

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9 minutes ago, Salisburysean98 said:

I think they need to practice read options hundreds of times this week. So they can get the hand off exchange corrected. They need to start playing micro ball, aka going for the first down instead of trying to surprise a team deep down the field in your own half. We have a great Punter but that gives the team no excuse to call that deep bullshit in our own half of the 50.

Now... Another thing that needs to get done is calling that bullshit inside the 30 of the other teams half. That's right... On 3rd and 1you chuck that puppy into the end zone and go for the killing blow. Graham gano can come through a couple times a game for us. This isn't as catastrophic as a sack and punt, we will 80% of the time walk away with 3. And putting points up on the board is better than no points on the board for this offense.

 

Shula needs to incorporate some sort of section in the playbook where Benjamin's name is highlighted in Red. You get the football to your 6'5 240 guy idgaf who is covering him 1v1 the slant is his best ball over the middle. You tell Cam that if you're going to launch the ball in there as hard as you can then Anderson is in. There are times for touch passing and times for throwing the ball to a spot where only Benjamin can get to it if he does throw it with some sauce on it. You never throw high, ever.... Ever.... Bad poo will happen.

 

Lastly, where is the trickery in the offense? We saw it against Denver and it worked on them, incorporate a section of the playbook labeled Ted ginn jr  and execute it. 

Keep all the QB keepers for when we are in our own half and need a 1st down but are mindful the defense possibly knows what we would otherwise do, such as a handoff to the back or Tolbert. Or a 30 yard pass.

 

Then our wounds on offense are somewhat healed. 

I think Cam would be all for those types of plays. You wouldn't even need to threaten him with it. Shula just has to be on board and realize when something doesn't work, adjust it. If something works, do not change it. 

 

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They need more timing plays for Cam ... once that back foot hits release the ball. 

We have all said it ... situational football has always been Shula's weakness and I honest dont think that will ever change.

If Shula changed playcalling when Anderson entered the game, then we have a problem with Shula. If he didnt ... Then we have a problem with Cam (He needs to start taking what the defense gives me and stop worrying about the home run ball).

Get KB involved but do not focus on him (I think that was some of the problem in the Minn game). I think Cam was trying to prove he doesnt have to throw to KB

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    • The referee assigned to this game is Shawn Smith. This is a critical data point for betting purposes because his crew has one of the most distinct, long-term statistical biases in the NFL. "Road Team" Bias: Historically, Shawn Smith is known as the "Road Team Referee." In a league where home teams usually win ~55% of the time, home teams in Smith's games have historically won at a rate far below league average (often hovering around 40-42%). Against The Spread (ATS): The trend is even starker here. Home teams have covered the spread at a rate of roughly 37-40% in his career. The Mechanism: Analysis shows his crew tends to call a higher rate of False Start and Unnecessary Roughness penalties on the Home Team. This negates the traditional home-field advantage (crowd noise causing false starts for the visitors). Impact on This Game: This specific assignment heavily favors the Buccaneers (Road Team). If you believe the referee influences the game, Smith's presence suggests the Panthers will struggle to get "home cooking" calls and may face untimely procedural flags that stall drives. The Panthers have only had Shawn Smith officiate four home games since he became a head referee in 2018, and they are all losses. Date Opponent Result Score Nov 24, 2024 vs. Kansas City Chiefs Loss 27–30 Oct 9, 2022 vs. San Francisco 49ers Loss 15–37 Dec 12, 2021 vs. Atlanta Falcons Loss 21–29 Nov 25, 2018 vs. Seattle Seahawks Loss 27–30 Considering the how rare it is for Shawn Smith to officiate a Panthers game at all, this seems like an odd time to assign him to a Panthers game, unless the NFL wants to kill the Panthers season once and for all.  The Panthers' offensive line situation creates a "perfect storm" for referee Shawn Smith's specific tendency to call False Starts on the home team. The "Carousel" Factor (Communication Vulnerability) The most damning stat for the Panthers' offensive line in 2025 is their lack of continuity. The Stat: By Week 13, the Panthers had already fielded their 10th different offensive line combination. The Impact: False starts are often "communication penalties"—they happen when a guard doesn't hear the center's snap count or a tackle anticipates the wrong cadence. A unit that hasn't played together struggles with non-verbal communication. The Shawn Smith Multiplier: Shawn Smith’s crew calls False Starts at a high rate on home teams. He will likely look for flinches on the exterior of the line. A disjointed line that is constantly rotating players (due to the injuries of starters like Cade Mays and the illness issues with Robert Hunt earlier this season) is "fresh meat" for this specific referee bias. The Specific Culprits (2025 Penalties) Ikem Ekwonu (LT): Leads the team with 4 False Start penalties this season. He is the most frequent violator on the line. Taylor Moton (RT): Has been flagged for 3 False Starts. The Trap: Smith’s crew often focuses on the tackles (the players furthest from the ball) jumping early to get an edge on speed rushers. Since Ekwonu struggles with this discipline naturally, having a referee who hunts for it is a massive disadvantage. The "Managed Outcome" Synthesis The "Bucs Cover" Script: If the desired outcome is a Buccaneers win to solidify their playoff standing, the officials simply have to apply the letter of the law. Calling strict False Starts on a confused, banged-up Panthers O-line will consistently put them in "3rd and Long" situations, killing their drives and allowing the Bucs (-3.5) to cover easily. The "Close Game" Script: If the desired outcome is "Week 18 Drama" (keeping the division tied), look for the officials to ignore the Panthers' twitchy tackles. If Ekwonu jumps a split-second early and no flag is thrown, it effectively neutralizes the Bucs' pass rush, allowing the Panthers to keep the score close. Summary of the Edge Vulnerability: Extreme. The Panthers are playing backup interior linemen (like Jake Curhan or practice squad call-ups) next to jumpy tackles. Betting Implication: This strongly reinforces the Bucs -3 or -3.5 play. The combination of a "Road Team Referee" and a "Home Team O-Line in chaos" suggests the Panthers will beat themselves with procedural penalties. Based on the collision of the hard data (Referee bias + Offensive Line injuries) and the soft narratives ("Managed Outcomes"), here is the definitive recommendation. If you have to place a single Moneyline bet to win this game straight up: The Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-165) While the "Entertainment Script" hints at a Panthers upset to keep the division messy, the structural disadvantage the Panthers face in this specific matchup is too massive to ignore. Here is why the Buccaneers are the stong moneyline play: 1. The "Shawn Smith" Road-Field Advantage This is the decisive factor. In the NFL, Home Field Advantage usually accounts for about 1.5 to 2 points of value. The Reality: Referee Shawn Smith negates that advantage entirely. His crew calls penalties in a way that historically suppresses home crowd momentum (False Starts, holding). The Result: You are essentially getting the Buccaneers on a neutral field (or even a "pseudo-home" field) against a team with a worse roster. 2. The "Drive-Killer" Synergy To win as an underdog, the Panthers need to play a clean, mistake-free game to keep drives alive. The combination of Panthers' 10th O-Line combo + Jump-prone Tackles (Ekwonu) + A Referee who hunts False Starts is a recipe for disaster. The Scenario: Expect the Panthers to face multiple "1st and 15" or "3rd and 12" situations due to procedural flags. These drive-killers will force them to punt or settle for field goals, while the Bucs' offense (led by Mayfield) stays on schedule. 3. The "TV Product" Counter-Argument You asked about the "Managed Outcome." While a Panthers win creates "chaos," the NFL also values Star Power in the playoffs. Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers are a proven national TV draw with recent playoff history. If the league has to choose between "Chaos" (Panthers) and "Ratings/Legitimacy" (Bucs), the "Script" likely leans toward ensuring the Buccaneers—the more marketable team—secure the division lead. They won't "fix" the game against the Panthers, but they won't intervene to save them from their own penalties. Final Verdict Betting on the Panthers requires you to hope for a miracle 4th-quarter collapse. Betting on the Buccaneers requires you to trust that a superior roster—aided by a favorable officiating crew—will control the game for the first 45 minutes. Take the Buccaneers Moneyline. The "Safe" money is on the Ref. The Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win and Cover Projected Score: Buccaneers 27, Panthers 17 The Bet: Buccaneers -3 (or Moneyline -165) Confidence Level: High on the Winner; Moderate on the Spread (due to potential "garbage time" variance).
    • He isn't a good HC. I think he has proved that conclusively.
    • The missed tackle percentage is on that screen cap.
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