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Darnold stat predictions for the season


NAS
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Assuming he plays the full year

339/530, 64% CMP%

4216 yards

24 TD and 14 INT

I think he'll have a lot of yards relative to his TDs, as I expect to see CMC get less touches but a lot of them probably coming in important situations like on 3rd down and near the goalline as well as a YPC increase.

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4 hours ago, t96 said:

A season like that would give me more confidence in Sam than I have now but wouldn't be enough to convince me he's our franchise guy. Same with my numbers below.

 

 

I'll predict:

4350 yards

30 TDs, 17 INT

62% completion, 7.5 yards per attempt

11-6 team record

 

 

Our weapons and Joe Brady's scheming easily gets him this yardage, Teddy had 3733 yards in just 15 games last year. TDs may be a bit ambitious but I think it's doable. OL brings his completion % lower and INT higher than we want, as he'll continue to make poor decisions at times when under heavy pressure. Encouraging season but, again, not enough to be convinced he's the guy.

Then again, his job is not to convince *you* or any one of us that he's the guy.   He's supposed to convince Rhule, Brady, and Tepper that he's the guy.

And if they think he is while you don't, your viewpoint won't matter in the end.

 

Btw, 11-6 is a Guaranteed Playoff Berth, imo.

Edited by glenwo2
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5 hours ago, NAS said:
  • 3700 yards
  • 24 TDs
  • 12 INTs
  • 65% completion
  • 98.5 passer rating
  • 9-8 record

How would you feel about our future with Sam Darnold going into next season?

 

To me, that's not good enough.  I'd want to see something closer to 30-34 TD's, 15 INTs max.  The only way for that stat line to be ok is if we rack up TD's on the ground.  Basically something similar to what the Titans do.  Focus on the run but the QB can bail out the team out when needed, just as long as it's not asked of him often.  If that makes sense.

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8 minutes ago, Luciu5 said:

To me, that's not good enough.  I'd want to see something closer to 30-34 TD's, 15 INTs max.  The only way for that stat line to be ok is if we rack up TD's on the ground.  Basically something similar to what the Titans do.  Focus on the run but the QB can bail out the team out when needed, just as long as it's not asked of him often.  If that makes sense.

I think for me it’s good enough compared to where he was and a 65% completion percentage a 98 rating means he is very effective. Yes I assume we will run the ball a lot in the red zone. 

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