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The best Defense in the NFL is……

ncfan

By ncfan,
in Carolina Panthers

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mav1234 Grand Master

mav1234

Posted
Posted (edited)
12 hours ago, TheCasillas said:

I believe garbage time is classified as final 8 minutes of the 4th quarter and 3 possesion+ score difference

The figure seems to suggest it is when a game is between win probability of 20 and 80% for either team.

(in this case, not in general usage obviously)

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JawnyBlaze Grand Master

JawnyBlaze

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Yea the Bengals game was an embarrassment but that’s included in the calculation. The defense really is that good. It’s stacked with really good to great players. It’s so good that it’s still the best within these parameters even factoring in a few shitty performances.  They’ve still got some room to grow, and part of those good performances is how weak our schedule has been this year, but to have a defense as young as ours is and performing at the level they are, the future is bright. 

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BrianS Veteran

BrianS

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Garbage time in this case is being classified as having either less than 20% chance of winning or greater than 80% chance of winning.  Effectively when the game is out of reach for either team.  It's a completely pointless stat.  It could exclude drives in the second quarter of games for example if you happen to be down (or up) by 21 points.

In the NFL, when it comes to defense, there is really only one stat that matters:  Scoring.  We are middle of the pack right now in that category, 13th.  Somewhat interestingly, we are a top 10 defense at home, and a bottom 5 defense away from home.  This feels about right to me.

We have some pieces, but we need to put them together.  We also need an offense that can give a good defense some time to rest.  We're doing better lately.

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Tr3ach Grand Master

Tr3ach

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On 12/12/2022 at 10:53 AM, 45catfan said:

If it weren't for the Bengals debacle, it probably would look even better.

Most likely the bengals game was thrown out almost entirely.  Win probability doesnt start at 50% if a good team is going against a bad team and it doesnt count any plays after probability is 80% to lose or 20% to win or whatever so after we went down a td or so the rest of that game was probably thrown out entirely lol

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trueblade Grand Master

trueblade

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18 minutes ago, Tr3ach said:

Most likely the bengals game was thrown out almost entirely.  Win probability doesnt start at 50% if a good team is going against a bad team and it doesnt count any plays after probability is 80% to lose or 20% to win or whatever so after we went down a td or so the rest of that game was probably thrown out entirely lol

Looks like it was 75% for the Bengals pretty much from the kickoff.

markup_1000001909.png

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