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Passing Chart against NO


Cdparr7
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1 minute ago, LinvilleGorge said:

The tendency for knee jerk opposite reaction mistakes under Tepper is becoming an alarming trend. Teddy sucked. He was smart but physically limited. So we trade for Darnold who has all the physical tools you want but can't read a field. That ended predictably. Rhule sucked and he had virtually zero NFL experience with a staff that lacked NFL experience. We replace him with a retread.

It just feels like every mistake under Tepper leads to a reaction in the polar opposite direction. Well, that sucked so obviously the opposite extreme will yield guaranteed success, right?

Preach brother. It sure does.

The other alarming trend is can you see him leanring anything along the way? I can't if it's there. We went from a bad school coach to a bad NFL coach but was it learning for just running to thr pollar opposite in the first trend?

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1 hour ago, *FreeFua* said:

I wonder how much of Reich’s system played a role in drafting Young. That’s my new concern. Obviously Reich’s system is dependant on getting the ball out quick/processing quick. I wonder how many new school OC’s would honestly draft Young over Stroud and Richardson 

Probably something we can agree on.

Frank runs the West Coast Spread which is designed more pass heavy and emphasizes getting the ball out quickly on short yardage routes with occasional zone runs and read options to manipulate gap assignment on the defense. Usually requires: An agile and athletic OL, QB with a quick release and good vision, a decent pass catching back, and sure handed receivers. The west coast spread does not depend on speedy receivers to gain separation because the offense is designed to spread out the defense and create 1on1 match ups with a QB who can place the ball in tight windows quickly. 

However, we have an OL designed for power run schemes between the tackles, whatever WRs we could get our hands on, and a young QB who hesitates and most likely doesn't have the clearest of vision (not making fun of his height, just being honest). 

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6 hours ago, kungfoodude said:

If you want sobering statistics, Young is 4/19 - 60 yds, 2 INT's on throws longer than 10 yards on the year.

Folks, that is a 0.66 QB Rating. For those that don't remember that old stat in the QBR era, that would be on a 0-158.3 scale. 

Thank you for compiling that.  I was too lazy to count but I was thinking I had seen very few impressive throws.  The vast majority of his completions are of a very basic variety, could have kept Bridgewater or Darnold. 
Maybe the coaches have him playing scared, maybe it’s just a small sample size, or maybe he just doesn’t have the physical or mental makeup to do it. 

 
 

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5 hours ago, Pantherxtreme said:

Teddy B was actually in the top half of average yards per play in his season with the Panthers. 

The whole dink and dunk narrative about him was vastly overblown from disgruntled fans still upset about the Cam saga. 

 

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To be fair, Teddy hasn’t exactly set the nfl world on fire since he left here

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We already knew Bryce Young has the lowest YPA of any rookie QB through his first two games or w/e (I don't remember the exact stat).  This chart just illustrates the same thing.  It isn't exactly some damning new piece of evidence.

But also, I would encourage you guys to take a look at every other QB's passing chart because they all throw ~80+% of their passes within 10 yards of the LOS.  I'm not gonna post any specific ones or else I'll get flooded with "YoU'rE tRyiNg To CoMpArE bRyCe To *insert elite QB here*?!?!).  But this kind of pass distribution isn't an anomaly, it's the norm.  Where Bryce needs to improve, is with converting a higher percentage of those intermediate passes into completions.  Also attempting 2-3 more deep shots a game certainly wouldn't hurt.

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I do not understand the Huddle sometimes.

image.png.affd9be37a5795ae6507eb28449a5756.png

The Huddle would look at that and go "Not throwing deep often enough" or "Shades of Teddy".  Yea, well, that guy just threw for 300 yards and 2 TD's in leading the 49ers to 30 points last night.  In his 8th regular season start.

There isn't a graph, chart or statistic in existence that tells you the whole story.  Bryce may fail.  He may succeed.  But a passing chart isn't going to tell you.

 

 

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39 minutes ago, BrianS said:

I do not understand the Huddle sometimes.

image.png.affd9be37a5795ae6507eb28449a5756.png

The Huddle would look at that and go "Not throwing deep often enough" or "Shades of Teddy".  Yea, well, that guy just threw for 300 yards and 2 TD's in leading the 49ers to 30 points last night.  In his 8th regular season start.

There isn't a graph, chart or statistic in existence that tells you the whole story.  Bryce may fail.  He may succeed.  But a passing chart isn't going to tell you.

 

 

Most teams are trying to take the deep ball away from teams with explosive players and make them play small.  Carolina is choosing to take it away from themselves AND defenses are playing the small ball.  That's presently our big problem.  Playing small ball can work pretty well when teams are playing to take vertical plays away.  Teams aren't playing us to take them away.   We are literally playing into what opposing defenses are playing us to do.    

and the only way to play into what a defenses is playing you to do.....is to have vastly superior talent.  For example, loading the box vs a road grading OL and elite RB.  Well, they might dare you stop them and still win that matchup.   We are basically daring a defense to stop us.....and they are doing it easily.  Oh, you want to come down and defend our small ball.  Guess what, we are still going to play small ball with our weak WRs and predictable calls. 

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2 hours ago, raleigh-panther said:

To be fair, Teddy hasn’t exactly set the nfl world on fire since he left here

To be fair, I think that Rhule and his rookie OC killed Teddy's last chance to be a great QB in this league. He became a backup somewhere else. And, frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if these experiences killed his confidence. 

Teddy had a good completion %, made Robbie Anderson a thousand yard receiver for the first (only?) time in his NFL career and, of course, gave another 1000 yards to DJ. 

Even though he's led game-winning drives for other teams in the past, he had none for us. But he also had a terrible offensive line and, apparently, coaches who didn't properly train these guys for 2-minute drills or red zone offense. That's what Teddy said, and clearly it was true.

Anyway, Teddy's career as a starter is over. Bryce still has a chance. But looks like it will take him time to adjust. I just can't help but wonder why I was hearing about all this chemistry between he and Chark in training camp as well as other receivers...and yet, we haven't seen it.

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6 hours ago, AU-panther said:

Thank you for compiling that.  I was too lazy to count but I was thinking I had seen very few impressive throws.  The vast majority of his completions are of a very basic variety, could have kept Bridgewater or Darnold. 
Maybe the coaches have him playing scared, maybe it’s just a small sample size, or maybe he just doesn’t have the physical or mental makeup to do it. 

 
 

Richardson is basically performing just as poorly. Only Stroud has been a standout through 2 games.

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5 hours ago, BrianS said:

I do not understand the Huddle sometimes.

image.png.affd9be37a5795ae6507eb28449a5756.png

The Huddle would look at that and go "Not throwing deep often enough" or "Shades of Teddy".  Yea, well, that guy just threw for 300 yards and 2 TD's in leading the 49ers to 30 points last night.  In his 8th regular season start.

There isn't a graph, chart or statistic in existence that tells you the whole story.  Bryce may fail.  He may succeed.  But a passing chart isn't going to tell you.

 

 

Shanahan really has some of ya'll thinking Brock Purdy is something special. We saw how that hand it off or dump it off to McCaffrey/Deebo bullshit went down in the NFC championship.

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52 minutes ago, frankw said:

Uh oh we got one. How's that Purdy jersey fitting?

Dude, Im not saying purdy is the next coming of brady, and I agree that Shanahans offense makes ALL QBs look better, but if you legit think all hes a jag just dumping off to CMC or Deebo you're literally huffing glue.  Hes miles better than anything Trey Lance showed and definitely better than Garoppolo.  

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    • I can't wait to go through this analysis 
    • What's more likely? An entire competant NFL front office (as many here suggest Morgan runs) has watched Bryce struggle week in and week out to perform at the bare minimum of NFL QBs for 3 years and has decided that's the future of this organization, OR our owner who has proven repeatedly he can't keep his nose out of team decision making has declared Bryce is our QB until he decides otherwise, especially given he's the one that drafted him in the first place? 
    • It is time to take a look at the defense.  Without further ado do.... Edge (OLB):  I think we overpaid for Jaelan Phillips, but he is constant pressure with 73 pressures in 2025, ranking 9th in the NFL.  In all, he was the 20th (of 111) rated pass rushing edge in 2025 according to PFF, putting him in the top 20% in the nfl.  With a pair of solid ILBs beside him and if we can get Wharton going, I think the sum of the parts will make him better than he was in Philly.  Furthermore, with second-year pro Princely Umanmielen behind him, I expect him to grow with the tutoring and competition. On the other side, the duo of Nick Scourton and Patrick Jones II is strong, in my view.  Scourton generated 34 total pressures as a pass rusher. That total included 8 sacks, 23 hurries, 3 hits. Against the run, he recorded 28 solo tackles. For a rookie, second round, edge, that is great.  He also forced 1 fumble on the season. Jones was decent in 2025 in just 131 snaps, but he is solid veteran depth.   We seem to lack the elite pass rusher, but this rotational unit will be a big upgrade over last season.  Expect Scourton and Princely to show improvement. While it is unlikely that we add more to edge this draft, you can never have too many pass rushers (well, you can--two sophomores and two veterans is a good mix). Would the Panthers take an edge if one was sitting there? Absolutely. Defensive End:  Derrick Brown is a stud.  I did not notice how dominant he became as a pass rusher.  His PFF pass-rush grade of 72.0 ranked 23rd among 134 qualified interior defensive linemans. His run-defense grade of 66.3 ranked 22nd at the position. He generated 35 total pressures as a pass rusher. That total included 6 sacks, 23 hurries, 6 hits. On the other side:  What the hell?  Tershawn Wharton earned a 40.8 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 127th among 134 qualified interior defensive linemans. His PFF pass-rush grade of 57.0 ranked 95th among 134 qualified interior defensive linemen. His run-defense grade of 34.8 ranked 125th at the position. However, Wharton needs to be situational and we really need a few DEs who can plug and pressure.  LaBryan Ray is an interior defensive lineman for the Carolina Panthers who earned a 45.7 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season.  You cannot tell me that we are not going to add a DE.  In my view, this is a HUGE need that we have not adequately addressed.  There were only 3 DEs in the NFL who played more snaps that Derrick Brown.  We have to give him more blows during the game.  So After Brown, we have 2 other players who need to improve a lot to reach mediocre. Nose Tackle:  Of course, a NT might move out some to help stuff the run at DE opposite Brown, and stats do not always reflect on a NT's actual value.  Bobby Brown III earned a 54.1 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 80th among 134 qualified interior defensive linemen.  His PFF pass-rush grade of 51.1 ranked 126th among 134 qualified interior defensive linemans. His run-defense grade of 57.8 ranked 51st at the position.   Behind him, Cam'Ron Jackson is an  earned a 45.5 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season.   The defensive line is weak, based on 2025 performance rankings in PFF.  After DBrown, they pretty much suck.  These are the guys our ILBs will be counting on. Inside Linebacker:  Devin Lloyd earned a 89.1 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 3rd among 88 qualified linebackers. His PFF coverage grade of 81.1 ranked 3rd among 88 qualified linebackers. His run-defense grade of 83.2 ranked 11th at the position. 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He allowed a 72.9 passer rating when targeted by opposing quarterbacks --SOLID!!  Our second-best CB, Jaycee Horn, was in the pro bowl.  He earned a 57.8 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 76th among 114 qualified corner.backs. His PFF coverage grade of 61.6 ranked 61st among 114 qualified cornerbacks. His run-defense grade of 50.5 ranked 87th at the position.  He recorded 5 interceptions on the season.  Our CBs had NINE interceptions in 2025.  It is doubtful they duplicate that figure, but Jackson was our best CB.   We are thin at CB, but the two we put out there are solid.  Nickel, at this time, is "meh," but both are developing and should improve.  A great draft for Nickel.  The Panthers will add a CB somehow. Safety:  For now, Trevon Moehrig is as advertised--above average vs. the run, below average in coverage, making him average. He earned a 64.3 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 50th among 98 qualified safeties. His PFF coverage grade of 55.3 ranked 64th among 98 qualified safeties. His run-defense grade of 73.5 ranked 37th at the position.  Lathan Ransom got some valuable experience in 2025, getting in on 330 plays or so.  He earned a 62.9 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 56th among 98 qualified safeties.  (Average, not bad for a day 3 rookie) His PFF coverage grade of 55.8 ranked 63rd among 98 qualified safeties. His run-defense grade of 85.1 ranked 4th at the position.  A pure strong safety, if you ask me.  Nick Scott  earned a 67.8 overall PFF defensive grade in the 2025 season, 36th among 98 qualified safeties. His PFF coverage grade of 67.3 ranked 31st among 98 qualified safeties. 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