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Shots Fired - #gettlemagic


SetfreexX

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Lol. Salty as hell. Yeah, it was handled very badly but it was a good and necessary decision to cut him. I would imagine most players wouldn't love a GM that placed trying to win over their feelings and past accomplishments. 

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I have met Smith a few  times.  He is an asshole. Once, he was rude to my son when signing his 89 jersey. My son was wearing the jersey, so he had his back to Smith.   SS was asking my son for his name--my  son (8 at the time) thought Smith was going to write his own name on it, so he was confused.  I had told my  son that Smith would sign his name on the numbers, so I understood why he was confused. Smith started repeating himself slowly  and louder---as if my son was slow.   My son said, "I am Garrett--I was thinking you would write your name on it."  Smith wanted to make it out  to him personally so he could not re-sell  it, I assume.  Smith then said something to him I could not understand, but it was delivered with a short, angry tone.   He took the jersey and walked away with it--as if he was going to keep it.  Then  he signed it and threw the pen and the jersey to him at once, about 10 feet away--Garrett had to pick them up off the ground.  I quietly told Smith that if I had known he was going to be a dick about it, I would never have bought him the jersey. Smith said something I could not  understand  and shrugged  his shoulders and walked  off.

You could argue that he did not have to sign the jersey at all,  but he was my son's  favorite player until that day.  I was taking a picture of Smith signing it, so he  probably thought I  was an Ebay hack.   I do not have an Ebay account--we had a frame for the jersey to put up in Garrett's room.  

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7 minutes ago, MHS831 said:

I have met Smith a few  times.  He is an asshole. Once, he was rude to my son when signing his 89 jersey. My son was wearing the jersey, so he had his back to Smith.   SS was asking my son for his name--my  son (8 at the time) thought Smith was going to write his own name on it, so he was confused.  I had told my  son that Smith would sign his name on the numbers, so I understood why he was confused. Smith started repeating himself slowly  and louder---as if my son was slow.   My son said, "I am Garrett--I was thinking you would write your name on it."  Smith wanted to make it out  to him personally so he could not re-sell  it, I assume.  Smith then said something to him I could not understand, but it was delivered with a short, angry tone.   He took the jersey and walked away with it--as if he was going to keep it.  Then  he signed it and threw the pen and the jersey to him at once, about 10 feet away--Garrett had to pick them up off the ground.  I quietly told Smith that if I had known he was going to be a dick about it, I would never have bought him the jersey. Smith said something I could not  understand  and shrugged  his shoulders and walked  off.

You could argue that he did not have to sign the jersey at all,  but he was my son's  favorite player until that day.  I was taking a picture of Smith signing it, so he  probably thought I  was an Ebay hack.   I do not have an Ebay account--we had a frame for the jersey to put up in Garrett's room.  

TBF, you're one in a million with most of those millions trying to resell it. I wouldn't even bother with it. They've been told to avoid people without kids and most of those people now just use their kids to get the signature. Maybe he had a bad day, who knows. Can't go out just calling someone an asshole.

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5 minutes ago, RumHam said:

TBF, you're one in a million with most of those millions trying to resell it. I wouldn't even bother with it. They've been told to avoid people without kids and most of those people now just use their kids to get the signature. Maybe he had a bad day, who knows. Can't go out just calling someone an asshole.

It's definitely not like there's a lack of evidence that Smitty is an asshole. Look, I love Smitty too. Part of what made him the player that he was is that massive chip on his shoulder. But let's not pretend like he's a nice, easy going guy.

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Well. It was Marty’s team that went to the Super Bowl, except for the fact that Marty didn’t pick those DT’s that helped us get there. I love Hurney to death, but without Dave picking Star and KK we don’t get there. If we don’t sure up the 1 or 0 (depending on the set we run) somehow through draft or FA we won’t get to the playoffs or make a run. Poe ain’t it

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5 minutes ago, Swaggasaurus said:

Well. It was Marty’s team that went to the Super Bowl, except for the fact that Marty didn’t pick those DT’s that helped us get there. I love Hurney to death, but without Dave picking Star and KK we don’t get there. If we don’t sure up the 1 or 0 (depending on the set we run) somehow through draft or FA we won’t get to the playoffs or make a run. Poe ain’t it

Gettleman looked brilliant early on. Nailed that Star/KK double dip and all of his bargain basement free agents worked out perfectly. Then it all unraveled. He reached on luxury picks (Shaq and Butler) while ignoring other massive needs, then capped it all off with a disastrous free agent class. That's not to even get into the Norman debacle.

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31 minutes ago, MHS831 said:

I quietly told Smith that if I had known he was going to be a dick about it, I would never have bought him the jersey.

 

lol you bet your butt you said it quietly... You knew better.

I was gonna say inb4 this turns into another Smitty bashing thread, but apparently I'm too late.

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    • The referee assigned to this game is Shawn Smith. This is a critical data point for betting purposes because his crew has one of the most distinct, long-term statistical biases in the NFL. "Road Team" Bias: Historically, Shawn Smith is known as the "Road Team Referee." In a league where home teams usually win ~55% of the time, home teams in Smith's games have historically won at a rate far below league average (often hovering around 40-42%). Against The Spread (ATS): The trend is even starker here. Home teams have covered the spread at a rate of roughly 37-40% in his career. The Mechanism: Analysis shows his crew tends to call a higher rate of False Start and Unnecessary Roughness penalties on the Home Team. This negates the traditional home-field advantage (crowd noise causing false starts for the visitors). Impact on This Game: This specific assignment heavily favors the Buccaneers (Road Team). If you believe the referee influences the game, Smith's presence suggests the Panthers will struggle to get "home cooking" calls and may face untimely procedural flags that stall drives. The Panthers have only had Shawn Smith officiate four home games since he became a head referee in 2018, and they are all losses. Date Opponent Result Score Nov 24, 2024 vs. Kansas City Chiefs Loss 27–30 Oct 9, 2022 vs. San Francisco 49ers Loss 15–37 Dec 12, 2021 vs. Atlanta Falcons Loss 21–29 Nov 25, 2018 vs. Seattle Seahawks Loss 27–30 Considering the how rare it is for Shawn Smith to officiate a Panthers game at all, this seems like an odd time to assign him to a Panthers game, unless the NFL wants to kill the Panthers season once and for all.  The Panthers' offensive line situation creates a "perfect storm" for referee Shawn Smith's specific tendency to call False Starts on the home team. The "Carousel" Factor (Communication Vulnerability) The most damning stat for the Panthers' offensive line in 2025 is their lack of continuity. The Stat: By Week 13, the Panthers had already fielded their 10th different offensive line combination. The Impact: False starts are often "communication penalties"—they happen when a guard doesn't hear the center's snap count or a tackle anticipates the wrong cadence. A unit that hasn't played together struggles with non-verbal communication. The Shawn Smith Multiplier: Shawn Smith’s crew calls False Starts at a high rate on home teams. He will likely look for flinches on the exterior of the line. A disjointed line that is constantly rotating players (due to the injuries of starters like Cade Mays and the illness issues with Robert Hunt earlier this season) is "fresh meat" for this specific referee bias. The Specific Culprits (2025 Penalties) Ikem Ekwonu (LT): Leads the team with 4 False Start penalties this season. He is the most frequent violator on the line. Taylor Moton (RT): Has been flagged for 3 False Starts. The Trap: Smith’s crew often focuses on the tackles (the players furthest from the ball) jumping early to get an edge on speed rushers. Since Ekwonu struggles with this discipline naturally, having a referee who hunts for it is a massive disadvantage. The "Managed Outcome" Synthesis The "Bucs Cover" Script: If the desired outcome is a Buccaneers win to solidify their playoff standing, the officials simply have to apply the letter of the law. Calling strict False Starts on a confused, banged-up Panthers O-line will consistently put them in "3rd and Long" situations, killing their drives and allowing the Bucs (-3.5) to cover easily. The "Close Game" Script: If the desired outcome is "Week 18 Drama" (keeping the division tied), look for the officials to ignore the Panthers' twitchy tackles. If Ekwonu jumps a split-second early and no flag is thrown, it effectively neutralizes the Bucs' pass rush, allowing the Panthers to keep the score close. Summary of the Edge Vulnerability: Extreme. The Panthers are playing backup interior linemen (like Jake Curhan or practice squad call-ups) next to jumpy tackles. Betting Implication: This strongly reinforces the Bucs -3 or -3.5 play. The combination of a "Road Team Referee" and a "Home Team O-Line in chaos" suggests the Panthers will beat themselves with procedural penalties. Based on the collision of the hard data (Referee bias + Offensive Line injuries) and the soft narratives ("Managed Outcomes"), here is the definitive recommendation. If you have to place a single Moneyline bet to win this game straight up: The Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-165) While the "Entertainment Script" hints at a Panthers upset to keep the division messy, the structural disadvantage the Panthers face in this specific matchup is too massive to ignore. Here is why the Buccaneers are the stong moneyline play: 1. The "Shawn Smith" Road-Field Advantage This is the decisive factor. In the NFL, Home Field Advantage usually accounts for about 1.5 to 2 points of value. The Reality: Referee Shawn Smith negates that advantage entirely. His crew calls penalties in a way that historically suppresses home crowd momentum (False Starts, holding). The Result: You are essentially getting the Buccaneers on a neutral field (or even a "pseudo-home" field) against a team with a worse roster. 2. The "Drive-Killer" Synergy To win as an underdog, the Panthers need to play a clean, mistake-free game to keep drives alive. The combination of Panthers' 10th O-Line combo + Jump-prone Tackles (Ekwonu) + A Referee who hunts False Starts is a recipe for disaster. The Scenario: Expect the Panthers to face multiple "1st and 15" or "3rd and 12" situations due to procedural flags. These drive-killers will force them to punt or settle for field goals, while the Bucs' offense (led by Mayfield) stays on schedule. 3. The "TV Product" Counter-Argument You asked about the "Managed Outcome." While a Panthers win creates "chaos," the NFL also values Star Power in the playoffs. Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers are a proven national TV draw with recent playoff history. If the league has to choose between "Chaos" (Panthers) and "Ratings/Legitimacy" (Bucs), the "Script" likely leans toward ensuring the Buccaneers—the more marketable team—secure the division lead. They won't "fix" the game against the Panthers, but they won't intervene to save them from their own penalties. Final Verdict Betting on the Panthers requires you to hope for a miracle 4th-quarter collapse. Betting on the Buccaneers requires you to trust that a superior roster—aided by a favorable officiating crew—will control the game for the first 45 minutes. Take the Buccaneers Moneyline. The "Safe" money is on the Ref. The Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win and Cover Projected Score: Buccaneers 27, Panthers 17 The Bet: Buccaneers -3 (or Moneyline -165) Confidence Level: High on the Winner; Moderate on the Spread (due to potential "garbage time" variance).
    • He isn't a good HC. I think he has proved that conclusively.
    • The missed tackle percentage is on that screen cap.
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