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By kungfoodude · Posted
Well, I took a look at three different measures of offensive line futility in 2020; Football Outsiders Adjusted Sack Rate, ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate and Pro Football References Pass Pressure Percentage. I took the bottom ten of each ranking, the QB with the most starts on the team and then compared them across a wide variety of QB statistical measures from multiple sources(PFR, Football Outsiders, NFL Next Gen Stats). This resulted in a group of 19 QB's from "oft pressured" teams. The amazing thing was that across a very wide variety of QB's(career backups, veteran journeymen, rookies, players with less than 3 years of NFL experience, elite QB's, etc), Sam Darnold managed to finish in the bottom five of almost every statistical category(10 of the 11, to be exact). So, while I completely understand that he didn't have good protection, none of these QB's had good protection last season, Darnold was just so consistently bad. The only other QB to be as consistently in the bottom five, was Dwayne Haskins. Frankly, there have been very few QB's in the NFL(if any) over the past three seasons that have been as bad as Sam Darnold. That should be a concern to every Panthers fan. How much of this is Adam Gase? Almost assuredly a decent chunk of it. How much of it is lack of talent around him? Probably a significant portion of it. But how much is just him not being able to have what it takes to be a successful NFL QB? That is the million dollar question. My fear, is that we are going to find out the answer to that question will end up being, "Enough to matter." Adjusted Sack Rate Bottom 10 10. Baltimore - Lamar Jackson 9. Cincinnati - Joe Burrow 8. Jacksonville - Gardner Minshew 7. Minnesota - Kirk Cousins 6. New York Giants - Daniel Jones 5. New England - Cam Newton 4. New York Jets - Sam Darnold 3. Seattle - Russell Wilson 2. Philadelphia - Carson Wentz 1. Houston - Deshaun Watson Pass Block Win Rate Bottom 10 10. Carolina - Teddy Bridgewater 9. Tennessee - Ryan Tannehill 8. Jacksonville - Gardner Minshew 7. Dallas Cowboys - Andy Dalton 6. Miami Dolphins - Tua Tagovailoa 5. Pittsburgh - Ben Roethlisberger 4. Cincinnati - Joe Burrow 3. New York Jets - Sam Darnold 2. Los Angeles Chargers - Justin Herbert 1. New York Giants - Daniel Jones Pressure Percentage Bottom 10 10. Houston - Deshaun Watson 9. Washington - Dwayne Haskins 8. San Francisco - Nick Mullens 7. Seattle - Russell Wilson 6. Denver - Drew Lock 5. Philadelphia - Carson Wentz 4. New York Jets - Sam Darnold 3. Los Angeles Chargers - Justin Herbert 2. New York Giants - Daniel Jones 1. Minnesota - Kirk Cousins Completion % 1. Watson - 70.2 2. Bridgewater 69.1 3. Wilson - 68.8 4. Cousins - 67.6 5. Herbert - 66.6 6. Minshew - 66.1 7. Newton - 65.8 8. Roethlisberger 65.6 9. Tannehill 65.5 10. Burrow - 65.3 11. Dalton - 64.9 12. Mullens - 64.7 13. Jackson - 64.4 14. Tagovailoa - 64.1 15. Jones - 62.5 16. Haskins - 61.4 17. Darnold - 59.6 18. Wentz - 57.4 19. Lock - 57.3 Total Yds/GM 1. Watson - 329.2 2. Herbert - 304.7 3. Wilson - 295.4 4. Burrow - 283.0 5. Cousins - 276.4 6. Minshew - 268.0 7. Bridgewater - 267.5 8. Tannehill - 255.3 9. Roethlisberger - 254.2 10. Jackson - 250.8 11. Mullens - 244.5 12. Wentz - 241.3 13. Jones - 240.4 14. Lock - 237.9 15. Newton - 216.6 16. Haskins - 212.2 17. Dalton 207.7 18. Darnold - 202.1 19. Tagovailoa - 192.3 Total TD's/GM 1. Wilson - 2.6 2. Tannehill - 2.5 3. Herbert - 2.4 4. Watson - 2.4 5. Cousins - 2.3 6. Jackson - 2.3 7. Roethlisberger - 2.2 8. Minshew - 1.9 9. Wentz - 1.7 10. Burrow - 1.6 11. Tagovailoa - 1.4 12. Lock - 1.4 13. Dalton - 1.3 14. Newton - 1.3 15. Bridgewater - 1.3 16. Mullens - 1.2 17. Darnold - 1.0 18. Jones - 0.9 19. Haskins - 0.8 Total TO's/GM 1. Tagovailoa - 0.5 2. Tannehill - 0.6 3. Watson - 0.8 4. Dalton - 0.8 5. Newton - 0.9 6. Roethlisberger - 0.9 7. Herbert - 1.0 8. Burrow - 1.0 9. Jackson - 1.0 10. Minshew - 1.0 11. Bridgewater - 1.1 12. Wilson - 1.2 13. Darnold - 1.2 14. Cousins - 1.3 15. Jones - 1.3 16. Lock - 1.4 17. Haskins - 1.6 18. Mullens - 1.7 19. Wentz - 1.8 TD% 1. Wilson - 7.2 2. Jackson - 6.9 3. Tannehill - 6.9 4. Cousins - 6.8 5. Watson - 6.1 6. Roethlisberger - 5.4 7. Herbert - 5.2 8. Minshew - 4.9 9. Dalton - 4.2 10. Tagovailoa - 3.8 11. Wentz - 3.7 12. Mullens - 3.7 13. Lock - 3.6 14. Burrow - 3.2 15. Bridgewater - 3.0 16. Jones - 2.5 17. Darnold - 2.5 18. Newton - 2.2 19. Haskins - 2.1 INT% 1. Burrow - 1.2 2. Watson - 1.3 3. Minshew - 1.5 4. Tannehill - 1.5 5. Roethlisberger - 1.6 6. Herbert - 1.7 7. Tagovailoa - 1.7 8. Jones - 2.2 9. Bridgewater - 2.2 10. Wilson - 2.3 11. Jackson - 2.4 12. Dalton - 2.4 13. Cousins - 2.5 14. Newton - 2.7 15. Haskins - 2.9 16. Darnold - 3.0 17. Wentz - 3.4 18. Lock - 3.4 19. Mullens - 3.7 QBR 1. Tannehill - 78.3 2. Jackson - 73.7 3. Wilson - 73.5 4. Watson - 70.5 5. Herbert - 69.5 6. Bridgewater - 64.2 7. Cousins - 63.2 8. Jones - 61.5 9. Roethlisberger - 60.1 10. Burrow - 56.2 11. Dalton - 53.8 12. Tagovailoa - 52.5 13. Minshew - 51.7 14. Wentz - 49.6 15. Lock - 48.8 16. Newton - 47.0 17. Mullens - 43.6 18. Darnold - 40.1 19. Haskins - 31.0 QB Rating 1. Watson - 112.4 2. Tannehill - 106.5 3. Wilson - 105.1 4. Cousins - 105.0 5. Jackson - 99.3 6. Herbert - 98.3 7. Minshew - 95.9 8. Roethlisberger - 94.1 9. Bridgewater - 92.1 10. Burrow - 89.8 11. Dalton - 87.3 12. Tagovailoa - 87.1 13. Mullens - 84.1 14. Newton - 82.9 15. Jones - 80.4 16. Lock - 75.4 17. Haskins - 73.0 18. Wentz - 72.8 19. Darnold - 72.7 AV 1. Wilson - 18 2. Jackson - 17 3. Tannehill - 17 4. Watson - 16 5. Cousins - 14 6. Herbert - 13 7. Newton - 12 8. Bridgewater - 12 9. Roethlisberger - 9 10. Jones - 8 11. Burrow - 7 12. Minshew - 6 13. Dalton - 5 14. Tagovailoa - 5 15. Mullens - 5 16. Lock - 5 17. Wentz - 4 18. Darnold - 3 19. Haskins - 0 DVOA 1. Watson 20.2 2. Tannehill 19.6 3. Cousins 12.0 4. Herbert 10.2 5. Wilson 8.1 6. Bridgewater 2.0 7. Roethlisberger 1.1 8. Jackson -0.7 9. Burrow -7.3 10. Mullens -7.7 11. Tagovailoa -8.5 12. Minshew -11.0 13. Lock -16.2 14. Dalton -16.7 15. Newton -17.7 16. Jones -22.4 17. Darnold -32.2 18. Wentz -35.9 19. Haskins -40.1 Completion Percentage Above Expected 1. Watson +4.8 2. Cousins +4.3 3. Wilson +4.0 4. Burrow +3.7 5. Minshew +2.9 6. Tannehill +2.4 7. Bridgewater +2.3 8. Herbert +1.5 9. Dalton 0.0 10. Jones -0.5 11. Jackson -0.7 12. Tagovailoa -1.4 13. Roethlisberger -1.8 14. Newton -2.6 15. Nick Mullens -3.1 16. Darnold -3.2 17. Lock -3.9 18. Wentz -4.1 19. Haskins -7.1 Time To Throw 1. Roethlisberger - 2.30 2. Dalton - 2.50 3. Tagovailoa - 2.55 4. Haskins - 2.55 5. Bridgewater - 2.60 6. Mullens - 2.63 7. Burrow - 2.65 8. Herbert - 2.69 9. Tannehill - 2.69 10. Jones - 2.76 11. Minshew - 2.77 12. Newton - 2.84 13. Watson - 2.84 14. Darnold - 2.85 15. Drew Lock - 2.87 16. Cousins - 2.88 17. Wentz - 2.91 18. Wilson - 2.97 19. Jackson - 2.98 -
This is exactly what I was thinking, it would definitely put the Chiefs organization in the position of assuming risk.
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