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QBs that are left in the playoffs by draft status.


Varking
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6 of the 8 left were drafted in round 1. 

Of the ones elminated already Ben was a first rounder, Kyler was a first rounder, Mac Jones was a first rounder, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr were second rounders. Outside of Brady every QB in the playoffs this year was drafted within the first two rounds of the NFL draft. 12 out of 13. 

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35 minutes ago, Varking said:

 

6 of the 8 left were drafted in round 1. 

Of the ones elminated already Ben was a first rounder, Kyler was a first rounder, Mac Jones was a first rounder, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr were second rounders. Outside of Brady every QB in the playoffs this year was drafted within the first two rounds of the NFL draft. 12 out of 13. 

Good info.  But…it’s also worth noting that there are a lot of first round QBs sitting home right now.  Lamar Jackson, Lawrence, Herbert, Wentz, Goff, Ryan, Darnold, Mayfield, Tua, Jones, etc.  

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7 minutes ago, Smithers said:

Good info.  But…it’s also worth noting that there are a lot of first round QBs sitting home right now.  Lamar Jackson, Lawrence, Herbert, Wentz, Goff, Ryan, Darnold, Mayfield, Tua, Jones, etc.  

There are also a lot of first and second round QBs no longer in the league, and not before they aged out.  This line of thought is a minefield.

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14 minutes ago, Sgt Schultz said:

There are also a lot of first and second round QBs no longer in the league, and not before they aged out.  This line of thought is a minefield.

Without a doubt.  Really can’t read into this kinda stuff much.  Interesting info though 

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1 hour ago, Varking said:

 

6 of the 8 left were drafted in round 1. 

Of the ones elminated already Ben was a first rounder, Kyler was a first rounder, Mac Jones was a first rounder, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr were second rounders. Outside of Brady every QB in the playoffs this year was drafted within the first two rounds of the NFL draft. 12 out of 13. 

Twin Peaks Ok GIF

You have to draft your QB…most of the time

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OL gets you to the playoffs

QB gets you through the playoffs

Defense wins you a championship

So, I don't care how many 1st round QBs are in the playoffs. I care about how many 1st round QBs get you to the SB.

Tom Brady(6), Nick Foles(3), Patrick Mahomes(top1), Jimmy Garoppolo(2), Jared Goff(top1), Matt Ryan(top1), Peyton Manning(top1), Cam Newton(top1), Russell Wilson(3), Joe Flacco(bot1), Colin Kaepernick(2), Eli Manning(top1), Aaron Rodgers(bot1), Ben Roethlisberger(top1), Drew Brees(2), Kurt Warner(undrafted), Rex Grossman(bot1), Matt Hasselbeck(6), Donovan McNabb(top1), Jake Delhomme(undrafted), Brad Johnson(9), Rich Gannon(4), Steve McNair(top1), Trent Dilfer(top1), Kerry Collins(top1), John Elway(top1), Brett Favre(2), Chris Chandler(3), Drew Bledsoe(top1), Steve Young(top1), Troy Aikman(top1), Neil O'Donnell(3), and Stan Humphries(6).

These are the QBs capable of winning in the playoffs since modern free agency.

Top1: 15

Bot1: 3

2/3: 8

4/7: 4

8+/Undrafted: 3

18 1st rounders of 33 QBs (55%). Now, consider 75% of teams have 1st round QBs starting. There is a greater success rate in the playoffs for NOT going with a 1st round QB.

50% of these SB QBs have not been with the team that originally drafted/signed them.

Lesson: It is extremely risky to draft a QB in the 1st round.

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3 hours ago, top dawg said:

I mean, that's all good and all, whether you draft the guy or acquire via trade, but you have to make a good pick, develop the guy, and a lot of things must go right. There have been a lot of busts.

https://thelistwire.usatoday.com/lists/42-first-round-qb-busts-in-the-super-bowl-era-josh-rosen/

Might as well go ahead and add Sam Darnold to that list 

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12 hours ago, Varking said:

 

6 of the 8 left were drafted in round 1. 

Of the ones elminated already Ben was a first rounder, Kyler was a first rounder, Mac Jones was a first rounder, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr were second rounders. Outside of Brady every QB in the playoffs this year was drafted within the first two rounds of the NFL draft. 12 out of 13. 

For what it's worth, Dax Prescott was a 4th rounder. 

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