Predicting Bryce Young's rookie year

[Pejorative Miscreant]

5 hours ago, t96 said:

34 TDs, 12 INT, 4300 passing yards, over 8 yards per attempt and 65% completion%

This is good.  Only thing I would add is that there will be 2-3 batted balls causing melt down overreactions from some folks.

[csx]

3 hours ago, tukafan21 said:

He better not, that was the main selling point on him, that his processing and mental side of the game were next level and more ready than any other QB in recent memory from that standpoint.

His negatives were his size and durability (nothing to do there but not get hurt) and that he doesn't have any truly elite physical traits (i.e. arm strength, speed, etc).  Those are things that can just tank him as a QB if he can't prove them wrong, but the whole thing with him is that his mental side of the game was supposed to be so good, that those things shouldn't be issues for him.

Sure, some early mistakes, but that better not be where he struggles or it will be concerning as that's what he's supposed to be so good at figuring out and overcoming.  I'll take it the first half of the season, but if that's an issue late in the year, that's scary.

He's a rookie. 

[csx]

I'm thinking the realm of 3700 yards. 24 tds. 14 interceptions.  Probably 300 yds rushing a 3 rushing tds...

Rookie QBs struggle and this would be a good start. Id hope for a good run/pass ballance as Reich  and Brown have spoke of.

Edited May 2, 2023 by csx

[Sam the Cat]

2800 yrds in 14 games

21 td - 9 int

64.5% passing (his senior yr number)

He will miss games for little injuries

Low td numbers are expected I also belief he is good in terms of ints so 9 is vwry very good number for a rookie.  His td number will be conservative...more running tds and grpund game will be more featured, especially in thw first half the season.

[NAS]

2 hours ago, jfra78 said:

Peyton Manning is probably the most cerebral QB we've seen and his rookie season was littered with interceptions.

There's an adjustment period for all players, even really talented 1st round picks

Different era, Manning played at the height when defenses dominated and were allowed to do so by the rules

[LordOfDaWingz]

6 hours ago, NAS said:

Different era, Manning played at the height when defenses dominated and were allowed to do so by the rules

This. Offenses have evolved. The new wave of Elite Qb’s show they are elite from the jump. The only Qb that improved was Josh Allen. However Mahomes, Burrow, & Herbert each threw 66%, and had no more than 12 interceptions in their first year as a starter. 
 

Pat Mahomes: 66%, 5,000+ pass yards, 50 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, rating of 113.8 (2018)

Joe Burrow: 65%, close to 2800 pass yards, 13 touchdowns, 5 interceptions, rating of 89.8 in 10 games started (2020)

Justin Herbert: 67%, 4300+ pass yards, 31 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, rating of 98.3

 

These players had the same statistical profile as Bryce coming out of college & it translated well to the league. 

[NYPantherFan]

3400 yards, 23 TDs, 11 INT. 260 Rush yards with 4 TDs.

 

[thefuzz]

3,800

63%

25/12

10 win season.  Make a little noise in the 1st.

[Hoenheim]

A lot of you have extremely high expectations 

[Pup McBarky]

Bryce is smart, but he's got to adjust to the closing speed of NFL players. If he has under 15 ints I'll be surprised and very pleasantly so. I think next year is when we see him make a huge leap.

[poundaway]

Its Young's rookie season.  I expect him to be better than what we've had recently  and to outperform the other rookie QBs, but its very unlikely he'll be all pro this season.

Trevor Lawrence   was  3641  yards 12 TD's  17 Ints his rookie year.

I'm hoping Young does better than that his rookie year.

 

 

[TheCasillas]

I agree with this:

[ForJimmy]

5 minutes ago, poundaway said:

Its Young's rookie season.  I expect him to be better than what we've had recently  and to outperform the other rookie QBs, but its very unlikely he'll be all pro this season.

Trevor Lawrence   was  3641  yards 12 TD's  17 Ints his rookie year.

I'm hoping Young does better than that his rookie year.

 

 

Yeah that was with an awful HC.

[TheCasillas]

6 minutes ago, poundaway said:

Its Young's rookie season.  I expect him to be better than what we've had recently  and to outperform the other rookie QBs, but its very unlikely he'll be all pro this season.

Trevor Lawrence   was  3641  yards 12 TD's  17 Ints his rookie year.

I'm hoping Young does better than that his rookie year.

 

 

Even if Young has a bad first year... I will remember Peyton Manning's first year and Trevor Lawrence helps drive recency bias.