If accurate, then Houston isn't budging.
This may drag into the 2022 season if so. Depends on how stubborn the Texans are and the result of the civil cases against Watson.
Eventually they are going to stop paying him and come after his money if they can't get a trade worked out.
I think we are about to enter into a very bad place for Rhule and I don't think Tepper has learned any lessons yet on how to be a good owner. It's set up for complete implosion.
Your logic is sound, I just think the storm is beginning from here.